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Yunnan Baiyao Group Co.,Ltd (000538) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Yunnan Baiyao Group Co.,Ltd

000538Market cap $13BPrice $7.5

Country🇨🇳China

SectorHealthcare

IndustryPharmaceuticals

Makes traditional Chinese medicine products, including its famous wound-healing powder whose exact formula has stayed a state-protected secret since 1902. Also sells toothpaste and health supplements, dominating China's herbal medicine cabinet with a century of brand trust.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-3%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+8%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+14%7

EPS Growth Y+2+4%5

EPS Growth Y+3-3%3

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin12%5

Net Income Margin12%6

Free Cash Flow Margin10%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.710

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROA10%8

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+STRONG71

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)165

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)164

P/BV2.26

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd106

EV/EBIT Fwd108

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.7%6

Dividend Yield3.1%7

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+2%8

3 month return+6%8

YTD return-7%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh91%8

1 year return-7%4

Long term

3 year return+10%3

5 year return-12%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta-0.010

Volatility14%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin10%6

Free Cash Flow Yield4.7%6

Quality

ROCE12%6

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.710

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000538Yunnan Baiyao Group Co.,Ltd

Revenue FY25$5.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK22 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+8%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+14%7

EPS growth, FY27E+4%5

EPS growth, FY28E-3%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 3%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 4%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 3% in year 3.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 78% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000538Yunnan Baiyao Group Co.,Ltd

Total return Current20.5%

Price return Current−4.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE55 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+2%8

3-month return+6%8

YTD return-7%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high91%8

1-year return-7%4

3-year return+10%3

5-year return-12%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+2%) and over three months (+6%).

WATCH

It's down 7% over the past year, now 9% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+9.6% over three years and -12% over five), behind 70% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Yunnan Baiyao. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

000538Yunnan Baiyao Group Co.,Ltd

Revenue FY25$5.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK22 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+8%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+14%7

EPS growth, FY27E+4%5

EPS growth, FY28E-3%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 3%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 4%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 3% in year 3.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 78% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

000538Yunnan Baiyao Group Co.,Ltd

Total return Current20.5%

Price return Current−4.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE55 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+2%8

3-month return+6%8

YTD return-7%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high91%8

1-year return-7%4

3-year return+10%3

5-year return-12%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+2%) and over three months (+6%).

WATCH

It's down 7% over the past year, now 9% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+9.6% over three years and -12% over five), behind 70% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Yunnan Baiyao. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community