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Ganfeng Lithium Group Co., Ltd. (002460) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Ganfeng Lithium Group Co., Ltd.

002460Market cap $12BPrice $6.6

Country🇨🇳China

SectorMaterials

IndustryChemicals

Mines and processes lithium for batteries powering EVs and electronics worldwide. Ganfeng controls resources across Australia, Argentina, and China, making it one of the few producers spanning the entire lithium supply chain, from raw ore to finished battery cells.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-23%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-18%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+114%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+34%10

Rev CAGR (5y)+97%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+300%10

EPS Growth Y+2-8%3

EPS Growth Y+3+53%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin18%7

Net Income Margin17%7

Free Cash Flow Margin-2%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA3.03

Efficiency

ROE14%6

ROA6%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE62

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)137

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)107

P/BV1.77

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd87

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-1.1%2

Dividend Yield0.3%1

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-12%2

3 month return-22%1

YTD return-31%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh48%1

1 year return-28%2

Long term

3 year return+1%3

5 year return-59%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility52%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-2%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-1.1%2

Quality

ROCE9%5

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA3.03

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

002460Ganfeng Lithium Group Co.

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG89 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-18%1

Revenue, next 1Y+114%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+34%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+97%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+300%10

EPS growth, FY27E-8%3

EPS growth, FY28E+53%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 89% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 34%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 34%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 97%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 53%/yr vs revenue 34%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 8% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 18%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

002460Ganfeng Lithium Group Co.

Total return Current295%

Price return Current263%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-12%2

3-month return-22%1

YTD return-31%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high48%1

1-year return-28%2

3-year return+1%3

5-year return-59%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+1% over three years and -59% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 28% over the past year, now 52% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-12%), over three months (-22%) and so far this year (-31%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Ganfeng Lithium Group Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

002460Ganfeng Lithium Group Co.

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG89 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-18%1

Revenue, next 1Y+114%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+34%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+97%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+300%10

EPS growth, FY27E-8%3

EPS growth, FY28E+53%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 89% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 34%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 34%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 97%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 53%/yr vs revenue 34%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 8% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 18%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

002460Ganfeng Lithium Group Co.

Total return Current295%

Price return Current263%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-12%2

3-month return-22%1

YTD return-31%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high48%1

1-year return-28%2

3-year return+1%3

5-year return-59%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+1% over three years and -59% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 28% over the past year, now 52% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-12%), over three months (-22%) and so far this year (-31%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Ganfeng Lithium Group Co., Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community