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Henderson Land Development Company Limited (12) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Henderson Land Development Company Limited

12Market cap $16BPrice $3.3

Country🇭🇰Hong Kong

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Builds and manages residential, office, and retail properties across Hong Kong and mainland China. One of Hong Kong's largest developers by land bank, it holds vast prime sites others simply can't access anymore.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-5%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+0%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+19%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+50%9

EPS Growth Y+2+10%6

EPS Growth Y+3+13%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin19%7

Net Income Margin20%8

Free Cash Flow Marginna–

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA19.51

Efficiency

ROE2%2

ROA2%3

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+WEAK24

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV0.410

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd173

EV/EBIT Fwd184

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-3%6

3 month return+4%7

YTD return-4%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh76%4

1 year return+0%5

Long term

3 year return+53%6

5 year return+12%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility27%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Marginna–

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Quality

ROCE1%2

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA19.51

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

12Henderson Land Development Company

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE56 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+19%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+50%9

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 8%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 13%/yr vs revenue 8%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 56% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

12Henderson Land Development Company

Total return Current36.7%

Price return Current−17.3%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE45 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return+4%7

YTD return-4%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high76%4

1-year return+0%5

3-year return+53%6

5-year return+12%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+4%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+53% over three years and +12% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 0% over the past year, but 24% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%) and so far this year (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Henderson Land. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

12Henderson Land Development Company

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE56 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+19%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+50%9

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 8%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 13%/yr vs revenue 8%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 56% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

12Henderson Land Development Company

Total return Current36.7%

Price return Current−17.3%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE45 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return+4%7

YTD return-4%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high76%4

1-year return+0%5

3-year return+53%6

5-year return+12%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+4%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+53% over three years and +12% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 0% over the past year, but 24% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%) and so far this year (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Henderson Land. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community