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Obayashi Corporation (1802) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Obayashi Corporation

1802Market cap $13BPrice $18.0

Country🇯🇵Japan

SectorIndustrials

IndustryConstruction & Engineering

Builds skyscrapers, tunnels, dams, and bridges across Japan and beyond, including some of the world's most advanced construction projects. This 120+ year-old giant is even developing concepts for a space elevator, betting on engineering decades ahead of its time.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+10%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+14%7

Rev CAGR (3y)-12%1

Rev CAGR (5y)-6%1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-2%3

EPS Growth Y+2+12%7

EPS Growth Y+3-28%2

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin8%4

Net Income Margin7%5

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

Efficiency

ROE16%7

ROA7%7

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE51

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)108

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)155

P/BV1.68

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd78

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.3%7

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-3%7

3 month return-9%4

YTD return-8%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh66%3

1 year return+24%7

Long term

3 year return+153%9

5 year return+273%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.39

Volatility34%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Yield6.3%7

Quality

ROCE13%7

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

1802Obayashi

Revenue FY26$16.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK12 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+14%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-12%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-6%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E-2%3

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

EPS growth, FY29E-28%2

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 88% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to shrink 12%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 12%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 6%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall along with revenue (EPS about -2%/yr vs revenue -12%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%7

3-month return-9%4

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return+24%7

3-year return+153%9

5-year return+273%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +153% over three years and +273% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-3%).

WATCH

It's up 24% over the past year, but 34% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-9%) and so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Obayashi Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

1802Obayashi

Revenue FY26$16.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK12 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+14%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-12%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-6%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E-2%3

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

EPS growth, FY29E-28%2

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 88% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to shrink 12%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 12%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 6%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall along with revenue (EPS about -2%/yr vs revenue -12%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%7

3-month return-9%4

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high66%3

1-year return+24%7

3-year return+153%9

5-year return+273%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +153% over three years and +273% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-3%).

WATCH

It's up 24% over the past year, but 34% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-9%) and so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Obayashi Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community