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Saudi Basic Industries Corporation (2010) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Saudi Basic Industries Corporation

2010Market cap $37BPrice $12.4

Country🇸🇦Saudi Arabia

SectorMaterials

IndustryChemicals

Produces petrochemicals, plastics, and fertilizers from Saudi Arabia's massive oil reserves. Controls 10% of global petrochemical production and supplies raw materials for everything from car parts to smartphone screens worldwide.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-23%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-14%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-8%1

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%2

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+128%10

EPS Growth Y+3+49%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin4%2

Net Income Margin-20%1

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.29

Efficiency

ROE-1%2

ROA-8%1

Earnings Stability33

GEAR+WEAK22

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)302

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV1.19

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd332

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.3%6

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-5%4

3 month return-8%4

YTD return-5%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh76%4

1 year return-20%2

Long term

3 year return-35%1

5 year return-54%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.110

Volatility22%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Yield4.3%6

Quality

ROCE2%2

Earnings Stability33

Net Debt/EBITDA0.29

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

2010Saudi Basic Industries

Revenue FY25$31.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK21 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-14%1

Revenue, next 1Y-8%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+128%10

EPS growth, FY28E+49%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 2%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 14%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

2010Saudi Basic Industries

Total return Current−19.3%

Price return Current−49.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%4

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-5%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high76%4

1-year return-20%2

3-year return-35%1

5-year return-54%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%), over three months (-8%) and so far this year (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-35% over three years and -54% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 20% over the past year, now 24% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Saudi Basic Industries Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

2010Saudi Basic Industries

Revenue FY25$31.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK21 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-14%1

Revenue, next 1Y-8%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+2%2

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+128%10

EPS growth, FY28E+49%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 2%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 79% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 14%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to grow 2%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

2010Saudi Basic Industries

Total return Current−19.3%

Price return Current−49.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%4

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-5%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high76%4

1-year return-20%2

3-year return-35%1

5-year return-54%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%), over three months (-8%) and so far this year (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-35% over three years and -54% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 20% over the past year, now 24% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Saudi Basic Industries Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community