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ANTA Sports Products Limited (2020) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

ANTA Sports Products Limited

2020Market cap $25BPrice $9.1

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryApparel & Luxury

Designs, makes, and sells sportswear and footwear across multiple brands including FILA in China. It's now the country's biggest sportswear company by revenue, having overtaken Nike and Adidas in their own backyard.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-15%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+14%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+15%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+9%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+11%7

EPS Growth Y+2+11%7

EPS Growth Y+3+11%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin24%8

Net Income Margin19%8

Free Cash Flow Margin24%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

Efficiency

ROE24%8

ROA15%9

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+VERY STRONG99

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)118

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)108

P/BV2.46

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd510

EV/EBIT Fwd610

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield12.0%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return-0%6

YTD return-8%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh82%6

1 year return-17%3

Long term

3 year return-7%2

5 year return-39%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility26%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin24%9

Free Cash Flow Yield12.0%10

Quality

ROCE22%9

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

2020ANTA Sports Products

Revenue FY25$11.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE65 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 1Y+15%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+11%7

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 14%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 9%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 65% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 14%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 9%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

2020ANTA Sports Products

Total return Current262%

Price return Current206%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK25 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high82%6

1-year return-17%3

3-year return-7%2

5-year return-39%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 17% over the past year, now 18% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%), over three months (+0%) and so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-6.6% over three years and -39% over five), behind 80% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on ANTA. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

2020ANTA Sports Products

Revenue FY25$11.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE65 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 1Y+15%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+11%7

EPS growth, FY27E+11%7

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 14%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 9%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 65% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 14%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 9%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

2020ANTA Sports Products

Total return Current262%

Price return Current206%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK25 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high82%6

1-year return-17%3

3-year return-7%2

5-year return-39%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 17% over the past year, now 18% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%), over three months (+0%) and so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-6.6% over three years and -39% over five), behind 80% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on ANTA. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community