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Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company (4325) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company

4325Market cap $6.59BPrice $4.6

Country🇸🇦Saudi Arabia

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

Develops and manages large-scale real estate projects across Saudi Arabia, from residential communities to commercial hubs. Backed by Al Dabbagh Group, it's riding the Vision 2030 construction boom reshaping the Kingdom's cities.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-29%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+89%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+8%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-24%2

EPS Growth Y+2+16%8

EPS Growth Y+3+35%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin38%9

Net Income Margin31%9

Free Cash Flow Margin105%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA6.21

Efficiency

ROE5%3

ROA3%5

Earnings Stability66

GEAR+STRONG82

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)302

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)213

P/BV1.58

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd262

EV/EBIT Fwd282

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield11.6%9

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+1%8

3 month return-5%5

YTD return+0%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh69%3

1 year return-29%2

Long term

3 year return-12%2

5 year return-12%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.210

Volatility31%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin105%10

Free Cash Flow Yield11.6%9

Quality

ROCE4%3

Earnings Stability66

Net Debt/EBITDA6.21

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

4325Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction

Revenue FY25$774M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG70 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+89%10

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-24%2

EPS growth, FY27E+16%8

EPS growth, FY28E+35%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 70% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 89%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 89%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 10%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 24% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

4325Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction

Total return Current−0.07%

Price return Current−0.07%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+1%8

3-month return-5%5

YTD return+0%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high69%3

1-year return-29%2

3-year return-12%2

5-year return-12%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+1%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-5%) and so far this year (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-12% over three years and -12% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 29% over the past year, now 31% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

4325Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction

Revenue FY25$774M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG70 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+89%10

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-24%2

EPS growth, FY27E+16%8

EPS growth, FY28E+35%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 70% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 89%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 89%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 10%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 16%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 24% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

4325Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction

Total return Current−0.07%

Price return Current−0.07%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+1%8

3-month return-5%5

YTD return+0%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high69%3

1-year return-29%2

3-year return-12%2

5-year return-12%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+1%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-5%) and so far this year (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-12% over three years and -12% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 29% over the past year, now 31% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community