Loading stock…

Nippon Steel Corporation (5401) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Nippon Steel Corporation

5401Market cap $21BPrice $4.1

Country🇯🇵Japan

SectorMaterials

IndustryMetals & Mining

Manufactures steel products ranging from automotive sheets to construction beams, forged through Japan's largest steelmaker. Just closed a $14 billion buyout of US Steel, making it the world's third-largest producer and a rare case of Japanese capital reviving American industrial giants.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+4%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+12%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+47%9

EPS Growth Y+2+31%9

EPS Growth Y+3-1%3

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin5%3

Net Income Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.52

Efficiency

ROE5%3

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+WEAK19

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)99

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)1031

P/BV0.610

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd59

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-4.3%2

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return+17%9

YTD return+5%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh91%8

1 year return+8%6

Long term

3 year return+10%3

5 year return+122%8

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility27%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-4.3%2

Quality

ROCE5%3

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA4.52

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

5401Nippon Steel

Revenue FY26$63.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK32 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%3

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+47%9

EPS growth, FY28E+31%9

EPS growth, FY29E-1%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 31%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 1% in year 3.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 68% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG67 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return+17%9

YTD return+5%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high91%8

1-year return+8%6

3-year return+10%3

5-year return+122%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 8% over the past year, but 9% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+17%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+10% over three years and +122% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and so far this year (+5%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Nippon Steel. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

5401Nippon Steel

Revenue FY26$63.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK32 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%3

Revenue, next 1Y+12%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+47%9

EPS growth, FY28E+31%9

EPS growth, FY29E-1%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 31%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 1% in year 3.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 68% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG67 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return+17%9

YTD return+5%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high91%8

1-year return+8%6

3-year return+10%3

5-year return+122%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 8% over the past year, but 9% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+17%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+10% over three years and +122% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and so far this year (+5%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Nippon Steel. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community