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Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd. (600809) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd.

600809Market cap $21BPrice $17.1

Country🇨🇳China

SectorConsumer

IndustryBeverages

Produces Fenjiu, one of China's oldest sorghum-based liquors with a 1,500-year brewing lineage, dominating the clear-aroma baijiu category. It's the liquid centerpiece of Shanxi's culture and a top-three baijiu maker by market value.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-38%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-8%1

Rev CAGR (3y)-0%1

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-16%2

EPS Growth Y+2+9%6

EPS Growth Y+3+10%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin38%9

Net Income Margin28%9

Free Cash Flow Margin24%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.510

Efficiency

ROE28%9

ROA17%10

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+STRONG82

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV3.74

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd88

EV/EBIT Fwd89

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.1%7

Dividend Yield5.7%10

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-5%5

3 month return+13%9

YTD return-29%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh59%2

1 year return-37%1

Long term

3 year return-46%1

5 year return-60%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.010

Volatility31%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin24%9

Free Cash Flow Yield6.1%7

Quality

ROCE37%10

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.510

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600809Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd.

Revenue FY25$5.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK13 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 1Y-8%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-0%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-16%2

EPS growth, FY27E+9%6

EPS growth, FY28E+10%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue -0.5%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 16% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 87% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to hold flat from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600809Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd.

Total return Current673%

Price return Current563%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK16 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return+13%9

YTD return-29%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high59%2

1-year return-37%1

3-year return-46%1

5-year return-60%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+13%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-46% over three years and -60% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 37% over the past year, now 41% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-29%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Fen Wine. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

600809Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd.

Revenue FY25$5.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK13 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 1Y-8%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-0%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-16%2

EPS growth, FY27E+9%6

EPS growth, FY28E+10%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

WATCH

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue -0.5%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 16% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 87% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Revenue grew 13%/yr over the last 3 years, but it is set to hold flat from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

600809Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory Co.,Ltd.

Total return Current673%

Price return Current563%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK16 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return+13%9

YTD return-29%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high59%2

1-year return-37%1

3-year return-46%1

5-year return-60%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+13%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-46% over three years and -60% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 37% over the past year, now 41% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-29%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Fen Wine. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community