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Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd. (6178) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Japan Post Holdings Co., Ltd.

6178Market cap $42BPrice $15.1

Country🇯🇵Japan

SectorFinancials

IndustryInsurance

Runs Japan's postal service while also operating one of the world's largest insurance and banking networks through 24,000 post offices. Its life insurance arm alone manages trillions of yen, making it a financial giant disguised as a mail carrier.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+64%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-5%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1na–

EPS Growth Y+2na–

EPS Growth Y+3+23%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Marginna–

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin-61%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE5%3

ROA0%2

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+

Not enough data to calculate the GEAR+ rating.

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)136

P/BV0.710

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%7

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+0%8

3 month return+4%7

YTD return+51%9

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh93%9

1 year return+73%10

Long term

3 year return+114%8

5 year return+222%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility29%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-61%1

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%7

Quality

ROCE1%2

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

6178Japan Post Holdings Co.

Revenue FY26$72.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

——

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27Ena–

EPS growth, FY28Ena–

EPS growth, FY29E+23%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 5%/yr from here.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 100% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about 0%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG93 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+0%8

3-month return+4%7

YTD return+51%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high93%9

1-year return+73%10

3-year return+114%8

5-year return+222%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +114% over three years and +222% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

It's up 73% over the past year, now 7% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%), over three months (+4%) and so far this year (+51%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally, and the stock trades near its highs. The market is fully behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Japan Post. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

6178Japan Post Holdings Co.

Revenue FY26$72.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

——

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27Ena–

EPS growth, FY28Ena–

EPS growth, FY29E+23%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 5%/yr from here.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 100% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about 0%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG93 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+0%8

3-month return+4%7

YTD return+51%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high93%9

1-year return+73%10

3-year return+114%8

5-year return+222%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +114% over three years and +222% over five, ahead of 80% of the market.

It's up 73% over the past year, now 7% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%), over three months (+4%) and so far this year (+51%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally, and the stock trades near its highs. The market is fully behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Japan Post. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community