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Keyence Corporation (6861) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Keyence Corporation

6861Market cap $125BPrice $505.8

Country🇯🇵Japan

SectorTechnology

IndustryElectronic Equipment

Manufactures precision sensors, vision systems, and automation equipment that keep factories running worldwide. Their products are so profitable that Keyence consistently ranks as one of Japan's most valuable companies per employee.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+30%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+25%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+16%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+14%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+32%9

EPS Growth Y+2+12%7

EPS Growth Y+3+12%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin52%10

Net Income Margin39%10

Free Cash Flow Margin32%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE15%6

ROA14%9

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+STRONG71

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)342

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)272

P/BV5.63

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd212

EV/EBIT Fwd213

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield2.0%4

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+7%10

3 month return+10%8

YTD return+45%9

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh91%9

1 year return+40%9

Long term

3 year return+51%6

5 year return+31%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.14

Volatility40%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin32%9

Free Cash Flow Yield2.0%4

Quality

ROCE19%8

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

6861Keyence

Revenue FY26$7.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG75 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%3

Revenue, next 1Y+25%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+16%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+32%9

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

EPS growth, FY29E+12%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 16%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 16%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 16%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG86 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+7%10

3-month return+10%8

YTD return+45%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high91%9

1-year return+40%9

3-year return+51%6

5-year return+31%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 40% over the past year, but 9% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+7%), over three months (+10%) and so far this year (+45%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+51% over three years and +31% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Keyence. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

6861Keyence

Revenue FY26$7.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG75 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%3

Revenue, next 1Y+25%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+16%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+14%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+32%9

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

EPS growth, FY29E+12%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 16%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 16%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 16%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG86 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+7%10

3-month return+10%8

YTD return+45%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high91%9

1-year return+40%9

3-year return+51%6

5-year return+31%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 40% over the past year, but 9% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+7%), over three months (+10%) and so far this year (+45%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+51% over three years and +31% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Keyence. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community