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Elm Company (7203) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Elm Company

7203Market cap $12BPrice $157.7

Country🇸🇦Saudi Arabia

SectorTechnology

IndustryIT Services

Powers Saudi Arabia's digital government backbone, running platforms like Absher and Muqeem that millions of citizens and residents use daily. As the Kingdom's dominant IT services provider, it's essentially the tech infrastructure behind Vision 2030's digital transformation.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-36%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+27%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+17%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+15%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+12%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+14%7

EPS Growth Y+2+14%7

EPS Growth Y+3+17%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin21%8

Net Income Margin21%8

Free Cash Flow Margin24%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.710

Efficiency

ROE56%10

ROA19%10

Earnings Stability1010

GEAR+VERY STRONG97

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)185

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)155

P/BV10.22

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd163

EV/EBIT Fwd184

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield5.4%7

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-3%6

3 month return-10%3

YTD return-20%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh63%2

1 year return-35%1

Long term

3 year return-19%2

5 year return+279%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.57

Volatility35%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin24%9

Free Cash Flow Yield5.4%7

Quality

ROCE35%10

Earnings Stability1010

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.710

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

7203Elm

Revenue FY25$2.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG80 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+27%9

Revenue, next 1Y+17%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+14%7

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+17%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 80% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 27%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 15%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 27%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 15%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

7203Elm

Total return Current84.3%

Price return Current78.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return-10%3

YTD return-20%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%2

1-year return-35%1

3-year return-19%2

5-year return+279%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (-19% over three years and +279% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 35% over the past year, now 37% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-10%) and so far this year (-20%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Elm Company. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

7203Elm

Revenue FY25$2.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG80 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+27%9

Revenue, next 1Y+17%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+14%7

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+17%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 80% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 27%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 15%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 27%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 15%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

7203Elm

Total return Current84.3%

Price return Current78.5%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return-10%3

YTD return-20%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%2

1-year return-35%1

3-year return-19%2

5-year return+279%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (-19% over three years and +279% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 35% over the past year, now 37% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-10%) and so far this year (-20%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Elm Company. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community