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Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited (914) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Anhui Conch Cement Company Limited

914Market cap $13BPrice $2.0

Country🇨🇳China

SectorMaterials

IndustryConstruction Materials

Produces cement, clinker, and concrete that build China's highways, bridges, and skyscrapers. It's one of the world's largest cement makers by capacity, churning out enough material annually to pave entire cities.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-35%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-15%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+3%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+0%1

Rev CAGR (5y)+2%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-6%3

EPS Growth Y+2-4%3

EPS Growth Y+3+23%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin8%4

Net Income Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.710

Efficiency

ROE3%2

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+WEAK32

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV0.510

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd210

EV/EBIT Fwd410

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.5%6

Dividend Yield4.4%9

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-4%5

3 month return-5%5

YTD return-25%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh61%2

1 year return-30%2

Long term

3 year return-7%2

5 year return-50%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.110

Volatility28%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Yield4.5%6

Quality

ROCE3%2

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.710

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

914Anhui Conch Cement Company

Revenue FY25$11.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-15%1

Revenue, next 1Y+3%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+0%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-6%3

EPS growth, FY27E-4%3

EPS growth, FY28E+23%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to hold flat from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 95% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 15%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -4%/yr vs revenue 0.1%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

914Anhui Conch Cement Company

Total return Current15.5%

Price return Current−25.8%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK12 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%5

3-month return-5%5

YTD return-25%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high61%2

1-year return-30%2

3-year return-7%2

5-year return-50%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%) and over three months (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-7.4% over three years and -50% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 30% over the past year, now 39% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Conch Cement. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

914Anhui Conch Cement Company

Revenue FY25$11.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK5 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-15%1

Revenue, next 1Y+3%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+0%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+2%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-6%3

EPS growth, FY27E-4%3

EPS growth, FY28E+23%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to hold flat from here.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 95% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 15%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Revenue is set to hold flat over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.2/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 2%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about -4%/yr vs revenue 0.1%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

914Anhui Conch Cement Company

Total return Current15.5%

Price return Current−25.8%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK12 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%5

3-month return-5%5

YTD return-25%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high61%2

1-year return-30%2

3-year return-7%2

5-year return-50%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%) and over three months (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-7.4% over three years and -50% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 30% over the past year, now 39% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Conch Cement. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community