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SECOM CO., LTD. (9735) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

SECOM CO., LTD.

9735Market cap $16BPrice $39.5

Country🇯🇵Japan

SectorIndustrials

IndustryCommercial Services

Provides security systems, monitoring, and emergency response services that protect homes and businesses across Japan. It's the country's largest security company, guarding everything from convenience stores to nuclear facilities since long before "smart home" was a buzzword.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+17%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-2%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+8%6

EPS Growth Y+2+8%6

EPS Growth Y+3+5%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin13%5

Net Income Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Margin11%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.110

Efficiency

ROE9%4

ROA6%7

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE64

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)214

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)183

P/BV1.97

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd69

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield5.3%7

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-0%8

3 month return-6%5

YTD return+14%7

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh87%7

1 year return+17%7

Long term

3 year return+30%4

5 year return+72%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.210

Volatility22%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin11%6

Free Cash Flow Yield5.3%7

Quality

ROCE9%5

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA-2.110

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

9735SECOM CO.

Revenue FY26$7.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK25 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+8%6

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

EPS growth, FY29E+5%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE62 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-0%8

3-month return-6%5

YTD return+14%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high87%7

1-year return+17%7

3-year return+30%4

5-year return+72%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 17% over the past year, but 13% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%) and so far this year (+14%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+30% over three years and +72% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on SECOM. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

9735SECOM CO.

Revenue FY26$7.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK25 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+8%6

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

EPS growth, FY29E+5%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 8%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE62 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-0%8

3-month return-6%5

YTD return+14%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high87%7

1-year return+17%7

3-year return+30%4

5-year return+72%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 17% over the past year, but 13% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+0%) and so far this year (+14%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+30% over three years and +72% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on SECOM. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community