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Absa Group Limited (ABG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Absa Group Limited

ABGMarket cap $11BPrice $13.0

Country🇿🇦South Africa

SectorFinancials

IndustryBanks

Runs one of Africa's largest banking networks, serving millions across 12 countries with everything from retail loans to corporate finance. Once part of Barclays, it now trades independently — proof that African banks can go it alone and thrive.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+22%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%–

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)na–

Rev CAGR (3y)+11%–

Rev CAGR (5y)+8%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+19%8

EPS Growth Y+2+10%6

EPS Growth Y+3+10%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin0%6

Net Income Margin23%8

Free Cash Flow Margin-52%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROA1%3

Earnings Stability77

GEAR+

Not enough data to calculate the GEAR+ rating.

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)610

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)610

P/BV0.910

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd010

EV/EBIT Fwd010

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-4%6

3 month return+2%7

YTD return-4%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh83%6

1 year return+21%7

Long term

3 year return+58%6

5 year return+113%8

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility23%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-52%1

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%10

Quality

ROCE7%3

Earnings Stability77

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ABGAbsa Group

Revenue FY25$6.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

——

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+8%–

Revenue, next 1Yna–

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+11%–

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+19%8

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+10%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 11%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 8%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 11%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 8%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 100% of companies worldwide.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

ABGAbsa Group

Total return Current87.7%

Price return Current6.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%6

3-month return+2%7

YTD return-4%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high83%6

1-year return+21%7

3-year return+58%6

5-year return+113%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +58% over three years and +113% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 21% over the past year, but 17% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+2%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%) and so far this year (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Absa Group Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ABGAbsa Group

Revenue FY25$6.2B

GROWTH RATING↗

——

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+8%–

Revenue, next 1Yna–

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+11%–

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+19%8

EPS growth, FY27E+10%6

EPS growth, FY28E+10%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 11%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 8%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 11%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 8%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 100% of companies worldwide.

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

ABGAbsa Group

Total return Current87.7%

Price return Current6.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-4%6

3-month return+2%7

YTD return-4%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high83%6

1-year return+21%7

3-year return+58%6

5-year return+113%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +58% over three years and +113% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 21% over the past year, but 17% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+2%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-4%) and so far this year (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Absa Group Limited. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community