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Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.

ACHCMarket cap $2.70BPrice $29.0

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorHealthcare

IndustryHealthcare Services

Operates behavioral health and substance abuse treatment facilities across the US and Puerto Rico. It's the largest standalone provider in a fragmented industry where mental health demand keeps outpacing available beds.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+20%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+3%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+21%8

EPS Growth Y+3+16%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin10%4

Net Income Margin-33%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-4%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.22

Efficiency

ROE-45%1

ROA-19%1

Earnings Stability33

GEAR+VERY WEAK10

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)175

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)145

P/BV1.48

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd137

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-5.0%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+3%9

3 month return-9%4

YTD return+105%10

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh81%5

1 year return+7%5

Long term

3 year return-58%1

5 year return-52%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility64%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-4%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-5.0%1

Quality

ROCE6%4

Earnings Stability33

Net Debt/EBITDA4.22

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ACHCAcadia Healthcare Company

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE42 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 1Y+3%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+16%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 42% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 8%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK27 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return-9%4

YTD return+105%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%5

1-year return+7%5

3-year return-58%1

5-year return-52%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and so far this year (+105%).

WATCH

It's up 7% over the past year, but 19% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-9%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-58% over three years and -52% over five), behind 90% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ACHCAcadia Healthcare Company

Revenue FY25$3.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE42 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 1Y+3%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+16%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 42% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 8%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK27 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+3%9

3-month return-9%4

YTD return+105%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%5

1-year return+7%5

3-year return-58%1

5-year return-52%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+3%) and so far this year (+105%).

WATCH

It's up 7% over the past year, but 19% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-9%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-58% over three years and -52% over five), behind 90% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community