Loading stock…

Agree Realty Corporation (ADC) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Agree Realty Corporation

ADCMarket cap $8.09BPrice $65.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorReal Estate

IndustryRetail REITs

Buys and leases retail properties to recession-resistant tenants like Walmart, Dollar General, and Tractor Supply. Nearly 70% of rent comes from investment-grade retailers, making this one of the safest ways to bet on brick-and-mortar retail's survival.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-11%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+19%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+17%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+15%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+16%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+9%6

EPS Growth Y+2+14%7

EPS Growth Y+3+9%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin48%10

Net Income Margin29%9

Free Cash Flow Margin68%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA5.61

Efficiency

ROE4%3

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG84

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)312

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)272

P/BV1.39

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd173

EV/EBIT Fwd292

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Dividend Yield4.9%9

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-10%2

3 month return-15%2

YTD return-7%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh81%5

1 year return-4%4

Long term

3 year return+36%5

5 year return+20%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.010

Volatility16%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin68%10

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Quality

ROCE4%3

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA5.61

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ADCAgree Realty

Revenue FY25$755M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG82 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+19%9

Revenue, next 1Y+17%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+16%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+9%6

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 82% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 16%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 15%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow slower than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 15%/yr), so margins are under pressure.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-15%2

YTD return-7%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%5

1-year return-4%4

3-year return+36%5

5-year return+20%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+36% over three years and +20% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 4% over the past year, now 19% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%) and over three months (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over the past month and over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Agree Realty Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ADCAgree Realty

Revenue FY25$755M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG82 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+19%9

Revenue, next 1Y+17%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+16%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+9%6

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 82% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 15%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 16%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 19%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 15%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow slower than sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 15%/yr), so margins are under pressure.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-15%2

YTD return-7%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high81%5

1-year return-4%4

3-year return+36%5

5-year return+20%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+36% over three years and +20% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 4% over the past year, now 19% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (-7%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%) and over three months (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Agree Realty Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community