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ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.

ADTNMarket cap $0.61BPrice $7.5

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorTechnology

IndustryCommunications Equipment

Builds the fiber and broadband networking gear that telecom giants use to deliver internet to homes and businesses. Its equipment powers rural broadband expansion across the U.S., a market projected to hit billions in federal funding.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-17%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+2%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+8%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+101%10

EPS Growth Y+3+32%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-0%2

Net Income Margin-2%2

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.55

Efficiency

ROE-15%1

ROA-1%2

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+VERY WEAK14

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)214

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)108

P/BV4.73

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd214

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield9.4%9

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+4%9

3 month return-45%1

YTD return-14%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh37%1

1 year return-17%3

Long term

3 year return-5%3

5 year return-59%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.61

Volatility69%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Yield9.4%9

Quality

ROCE-0%2

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA1.55

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ADTNADTRAN Holdings

Revenue FY25$1.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE52 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%4

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+101%10

EPS growth, FY28E+32%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 7%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 52% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 8%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+4%9

3-month return-45%1

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high37%1

1-year return-17%3

3-year return-5%3

5-year return-59%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+4%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-5.4% over three years and -59% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 17% over the past year, now 63% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-45%) and so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ADTNADTRAN Holdings

Revenue FY25$1.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE52 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+2%4

Revenue, next 1Y+6%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+101%10

EPS growth, FY28E+32%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 2%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 7%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 52% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 8%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+4%9

3-month return-45%1

YTD return-14%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high37%1

1-year return-17%3

3-year return-5%3

5-year return-59%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+4%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-5.4% over three years and -59% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 17% over the past year, now 63% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-45%) and so far this year (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Weak Tape

Returns across short and long horizons rank poorly versus the market. Momentum offers no support here; the case has to come from other factors. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on ADTRAN Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community