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Adtran Networks SE (ADV) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Adtran Networks SE

ADVMarket cap $1.28BPrice $24.6

Country🇩🇪Germany

SectorTechnology

IndustryCommunications Equipment

Builds fiber-optic and broadband networking gear that carries internet traffic into homes and businesses across Europe and the US. Formed from the Adtran-ADVA merger, it's one of the few non-Chinese, non-American players still competing globally in telecom infrastructure.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-2%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-9%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+3%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+32%10

Rev CAGR (5y)+22%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+1226%10

EPS Growth Y+3-0%3

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin1%2

Net Income Margin1%2

Free Cash Flow Margin13%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.27

Efficiency

ROE2%2

ROA1%3

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+AVERAGE63

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)651

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)98

P/BV2.95

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd153

EV/EBIT Fwd1871

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield5.6%7

Dividend Yield2.4%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-3%6

3 month return-5%5

YTD return+3%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh94%9

1 year return+3%5

Long term

3 year return+18%4

5 year return+99%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.010

Volatility7%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin13%6

Free Cash Flow Yield5.6%7

Quality

ROCE1%2

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA0.27

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ADVAdtran Networks

Revenue FY25$566M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG70 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-9%1

Revenue, next 1Y+3%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+32%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+22%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+1226%10

EPS growth, FY28E-0%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 70% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 32%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 32%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 9%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about 0%/yr vs revenue 32%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A top-tier grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

ADVAdtran Networks

Total return Current219%

Price return Current203%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return-5%5

YTD return+3%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high94%9

1-year return+3%5

3-year return+18%4

5-year return+99%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 3% over the past year, now 6% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+18% over three years and +99% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%), over three months (-5%) and so far this year (+3%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Adtran Networks SE. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ADVAdtran Networks

Revenue FY25$566M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG70 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-9%1

Revenue, next 1Y+3%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+32%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+22%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+1226%10

EPS growth, FY28E-0%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 70% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 32%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 32%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 9%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall even as revenue grows (EPS about 0%/yr vs revenue 32%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A top-tier grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

ADVAdtran Networks

Total return Current219%

Price return Current203%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return-5%5

YTD return+3%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high94%9

1-year return+3%5

3-year return+18%4

5-year return+99%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 3% over the past year, now 6% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+18% over three years and +99% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%), over three months (-5%) and so far this year (+3%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Adtran Networks SE. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community