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Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

AESIMarket cap $1.52BPrice $12.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorEnergy

IndustryEnergy Equipment

Supplies frac sand and logistics for shale drillers, mining it right next to Permian Basin wellsites to slash trucking costs. That local-sourcing model turned a commodity business into one of oilfield services' most efficient plays.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+19%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+31%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+2%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+13%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+12%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+20%5

EPS Growth Y+3+777%10

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-9%1

Net Income Margin-11%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-17%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.12

Efficiency

ROE-10%1

ROA-5%1

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+VERY WEAK10

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV1.48

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd154

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-12.1%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-17%1

3 month return-14%3

YTD return+29%8

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh60%2

1 year return+10%6

Long term

3 year return-37%1

5 year return-19%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.13

Volatility66%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-17%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-12.1%1

Quality

ROCE-4%1

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA4.12

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AESIAtlas Energy Solutions

Revenue FY25$1.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+31%10

Revenue, next 1Y+2%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E+777%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 31%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 31%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 13%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK9 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-17%1

3-month return-14%3

YTD return+29%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high60%2

1-year return+10%6

3-year return-37%1

5-year return-19%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+29%).

WATCH

It's up 10% over the past year, but 40% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-37% over three years and -19% over five), behind 80% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-17%) and over three months (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AESIAtlas Energy Solutions

Revenue FY25$1.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+31%10

Revenue, next 1Y+2%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+13%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+12%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E+777%10

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 31%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 12%/yr over five years.8/10

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 13%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 31%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 13%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK9 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-17%1

3-month return-14%3

YTD return+29%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high60%2

1-year return+10%6

3-year return-37%1

5-year return-19%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+29%).

WATCH

It's up 10% over the past year, but 40% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-37% over three years and -19% over five), behind 80% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-17%) and over three months (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community