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AGCO Corporation (AGCO) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

AGCO Corporation

AGCOMarket cap $7.57BPrice $108.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryMachinery

AGCO designs and manufactures tractors, combines, and farm equipment under brands like Fendt and Massey Ferguson, feeding the world's farmers. It's one of the largest agricultural machinery makers globally, competing directly with Deere and CNH.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+1%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-7%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+1%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-41%2

EPS Growth Y+2+25%8

EPS Growth Y+3+29%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin6%3

Net Income Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.14

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROA4%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK21

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)175

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV1.97

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd136

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.4%6

Dividend Yield1.1%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-15%1

3 month return-4%5

YTD return+4%6

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh76%4

1 year return+0%5

Long term

3 year return-5%3

5 year return-1%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility36%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Yield4.4%6

Quality

ROCE8%5

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.14

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AGCOAGCO

Revenue FY25$10.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-41%2

EPS growth, FY27E+25%8

EPS growth, FY28E+29%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 25%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 41% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK18 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-15%1

3-month return-4%5

YTD return+4%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high76%4

1-year return+0%5

3-year return-5%3

5-year return-1%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's up 0.2% over the past year, but 24% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-4%) and so far this year (+4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-5.2% over three years and -1.4% over five), behind 70% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AGCO Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AGCOAGCO

Revenue FY25$10.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK29 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-7%1

Revenue, next 1Y+1%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-41%2

EPS growth, FY27E+25%8

EPS growth, FY28E+29%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 25%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 41% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 71% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 7%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK18 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-15%1

3-month return-4%5

YTD return+4%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high76%4

1-year return+0%5

3-year return-5%3

5-year return-1%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's up 0.2% over the past year, but 24% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-4%) and so far this year (+4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-5.2% over three years and -1.4% over five), behind 70% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-15%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AGCO Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community