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Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Align Technology, Inc.

ALGNMarket cap $10BPrice $141.0

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorHealthcare

IndustryHealthcare Equipment

Makes Invisalign clear aligners that straighten teeth without metal braces, capturing roughly 90% of the clear aligner market. Over 17 million people have used its trays, turning orthodontics into a plastic-manufacturing business disguised as healthcare.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+8%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+3%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+8%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+99%10

EPS Growth Y+2+8%6

EPS Growth Y+3+9%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin18%7

Net Income Margin10%6

Free Cash Flow Margin15%7

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-1.010

Efficiency

ROE10%5

ROA7%7

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+AVERAGE53

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)127

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)117

P/BV2.46

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd88

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.3%7

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-8%3

3 month return-21%2

YTD return-10%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh70%4

1 year return+7%6

Long term

3 year return-50%1

5 year return-78%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.32

Volatility39%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin15%7

Free Cash Flow Yield6.3%7

Quality

ROCE17%8

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA-1.010

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ALGNAlign Technology

Revenue FY25$4.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE39 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+3%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+99%10

EPS growth, FY27E+8%6

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 39% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 8%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-21%2

YTD return-10%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high70%4

1-year return+7%6

3-year return-50%1

5-year return-78%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's up 7% over the past year, but 30% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-50% over three years and -78% over five), behind 90% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%), over three months (-21%) and so far this year (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Align Technology, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ALGNAlign Technology

Revenue FY25$4.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE39 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+3%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+99%10

EPS growth, FY27E+8%6

EPS growth, FY28E+9%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 39% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 8%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-21%2

YTD return-10%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high70%4

1-year return+7%6

3-year return-50%1

5-year return-78%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's up 7% over the past year, but 30% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-50% over three years and -78% over five), behind 90% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%), over three months (-21%) and so far this year (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Align Technology, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community