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Alumis Inc. (ALMS) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Alumis Inc.

ALMSMarket cap $0.90BPrice $6.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorHealthcare

IndustryPharmaceuticals

Develops oral and small-molecule therapies for autoimmune diseases like psoriasis and lupus, targeting the same pathways as blockbuster injectables. Its bet: patients want pills, not needles, and that switch could unlock a multibillion-dollar market shift.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+54%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)na–

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-73%1

Rev CAGR (3y)+64%10

Rev CAGR (5y)+102%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+3Loss1

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-5744%1

Net Income Margin-5933%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-4755%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-94%1

ROA-75%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

GEAR+VERY WEAK5

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)na–

P/BV2.07

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-38.7%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-38%1

3 month return-76%1

YTD return-29%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh22%1

1 year return+54%9

Long term

3 year return-48%1

5 year return-48%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta-1.410

Volatility132%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-4755%1

Free Cash Flow Yield-38.7%1

Quality

ROCE-84%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGRna–

Revenue, next 1Y-73%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+64%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+102%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 64%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 64%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 102%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-38%1

3-month return-76%1

YTD return-29%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high22%1

1-year return+54%9

3-year return-48%1

5-year return-48%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's up 54% over the past year, but 78% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-48% over three years and -48% over five), behind 90% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-38%), over three months (-76%) and so far this year (-29%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Alumis Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGRna–

Revenue, next 1Y-73%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+64%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+102%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 64%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 64%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 102%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK6 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-38%1

3-month return-76%1

YTD return-29%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high22%1

1-year return+54%9

3-year return-48%1

5-year return-48%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's up 54% over the past year, but 78% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-48% over three years and -48% over five), behind 90% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-38%), over three months (-76%) and so far this year (-29%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Alumis Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community