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American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

American Homes 4 Rent

AMHMarket cap $11BPrice $30.5

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorReal Estate

IndustryResidential REITs

Buys, builds, and rents out single-family homes across the country, turning the American Dream into a subscription. Owns tens of thousands of houses, betting that renting a house beats renting an apartment for millions of families.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-5%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+3%3

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%2

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-42%2

EPS Growth Y+2+7%6

EPS Growth Y+3+8%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin25%8

Net Income Margin26%8

Free Cash Flow Margin46%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA5.22

Efficiency

ROE7%3

ROA4%5

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+AVERAGE41

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)431

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)381

P/BV1.87

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd163

EV/EBIT Fwd332

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Dividend Yield4.3%9

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-5%5

3 month return-9%4

YTD return-2%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh88%7

1 year return-2%4

Long term

3 year return-1%3

5 year return-9%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.39

Volatility20%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin46%10

Free Cash Flow Yieldna–

Quality

ROCE4%3

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA5.22

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AMHAmerican Homes 4 Rent

Revenue FY25$1.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+3%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-42%2

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 3%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 42% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 80% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK32 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-9%4

YTD return-2%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high88%7

1-year return-2%4

3-year return-1%3

5-year return-9%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 2% over the past year, now 12% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%), over three months (-9%) and so far this year (-2%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-0.7% over three years and -8.9% over five), behind 70% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on American Homes 4 Rent. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AMHAmerican Homes 4 Rent

Revenue FY25$1.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y+3%3

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+3%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%2

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-42%2

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+8%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 3%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 3%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 42% next year.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 80% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 3%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK32 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-9%4

YTD return-2%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high88%7

1-year return-2%4

3-year return-1%3

5-year return-9%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 2% over the past year, now 12% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%), over three months (-9%) and so far this year (-2%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-0.7% over three years and -8.9% over five), behind 70% of the market.

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on American Homes 4 Rent. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community