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Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.

ASOMarket cap $3.22BPrice $52.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustrySpecialty Retail

Sells sporting goods, outdoor gear, and footwear across the American South and Midwest at prices that undercut big-box rivals. It thrives in mid-size markets that Dick's and REI often skip, quietly outperforming both on margins.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+2%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-2%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+4%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+23%8

EPS Growth Y+2+2%4

EPS Growth Y+3+7%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin9%4

Net Income Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.75

Efficiency

ROE19%8

ROA7%7

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE44

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)710

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)79

P/BV1.58

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd78

EV/EBIT Fwd89

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield10.3%9

Dividend Yield1.1%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+17%10

3 month return+16%9

YTD return+6%6

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh85%6

1 year return-0%5

Long term

3 year return+23%4

5 year return+30%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.13

Volatility45%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Yield10.3%9

Quality

ROCE14%7

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.75

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors

Revenue FY26$6.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+23%8

EPS growth, FY28E+2%4

EPS growth, FY29E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 5%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG67 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+17%10

3-month return+16%9

YTD return+6%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high85%6

1-year return-0%5

3-year return+23%4

5-year return+30%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+17%) and over three months (+16%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+23% over three years and +30% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 0.1% over the past year, now 15% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+6%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ASOAcademy Sports and Outdoors

Revenue FY26$6.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-2%2

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+23%8

EPS growth, FY28E+2%4

EPS growth, FY29E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 5%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue fell 2%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG67 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+17%10

3-month return+16%9

YTD return+6%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high85%6

1-year return-0%5

3-year return+23%4

5-year return+30%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+17%) and over three months (+16%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+23% over three years and +30% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 0.1% over the past year, now 15% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+6%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community