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AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

ASTSMarket cap $19BPrice $63.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorTechnology

IndustryTelecom Services

Builds a space-based cellular network that connects directly to ordinary smartphones — no special hardware needed. Its satellites aim to erase the world's mobile dead zones, partnering with carriers like AT&T and Verizon to reach billions still off the grid.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-24%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+72%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+138%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+191%10

Rev CAGR (5y)+115%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+3Loss1

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-410%1

Net Income Margin-537%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-1421%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-45%1

ROA-21%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

GEAR+VERY WEAK11

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)na–

P/BV13.01

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-6.7%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+1%8

3 month return-15%2

YTD return-13%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh47%1

1 year return-16%3

Long term

3 year return+1597%10

5 year return+508%10

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.52

Volatility108%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-1421%1

Free Cash Flow Yield-6.7%1

Quality

ROCE-13%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ASTSAST SpaceMobile

Revenue FY25$71M

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG89 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+72%10

Revenue, next 1Y+138%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+191%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+115%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 89% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 72%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 191%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

Revenue grew 72%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 191%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 115%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE44 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+1%8

3-month return-15%2

YTD return-13%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high47%1

1-year return-16%3

3-year return+1597%10

5-year return+508%10

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +1597% over three years and +508% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+1%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 16% over the past year, now 53% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-15%) and so far this year (-13%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

A proven multi-year compounder now in a meaningful pullback well below its 52-week high. This is the classic fork: either a buy-the-dip in an intact uptrend, or the early stage of a trend change. Wait for the short-term slide to stabilise before adding. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AST SpaceMobile, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ASTSAST SpaceMobile

Revenue FY25$71M

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG89 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+72%10

Revenue, next 1Y+138%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+191%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+115%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 89% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 72%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 191%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

Revenue grew 72%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 191%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 115%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE44 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+1%8

3-month return-15%2

YTD return-13%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high47%1

1-year return-16%3

3-year return+1597%10

5-year return+508%10

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +1597% over three years and +508% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+1%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 16% over the past year, now 53% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-15%) and so far this year (-13%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AST SpaceMobile, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community