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Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Atmos Energy Corporation

ATOMarket cap $27BPrice $159.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorUtilities

IndustryGas Utilities

Distributes and stores natural gas across eight states, serving over three million customers through one of the safest, most modernized pipeline networks in the country. Regulated utility income means steady cash flow no matter what the economy's doing.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-9%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+10%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+10%7

Rev CAGR (5y)+9%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+13%7

EPS Growth Y+2+12%7

EPS Growth Y+3+12%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin38%9

Net Income Margin28%9

Free Cash Flow Margin-41%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA3.72

Efficiency

ROE10%4

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability1010

GEAR+STRONG78

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)184

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)155

P/BV1.87

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd144

EV/EBIT Fwd204

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-7.5%1

Dividend Yield2.5%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-5%5

3 month return-10%3

YTD return-3%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh84%6

1 year return-7%4

Long term

3 year return+58%6

5 year return+100%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.110

Volatility15%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-41%1

Free Cash Flow Yield-7.5%1

Quality

ROCE7%4

Earnings Stability1010

Net Debt/EBITDA3.72

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ATOAtmos Energy

Revenue FY25$4.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE63 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+13%7

EPS growth, FY27E+12%7

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 10%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 63% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE40 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-10%3

YTD return-3%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high84%6

1-year return-7%4

3-year return+58%6

5-year return+100%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +58% over three years and +100% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

WATCH

It's down 7% over the past year, now 16% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%) and so far this year (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Atmos Energy. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ATOAtmos Energy

Revenue FY25$4.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE63 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+4%4

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+10%7

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+9%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+13%7

EPS growth, FY27E+12%7

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 4%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 10%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over five years.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 10%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 63% of companies worldwide.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Reaccelerating Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE40 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-5%5

3-month return-10%3

YTD return-3%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high84%6

1-year return-7%4

3-year return+58%6

5-year return+100%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +58% over three years and +100% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

WATCH

It's down 7% over the past year, now 16% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-5%) and so far this year (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Atmos Energy. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community