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Avista Corporation (AVA) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Avista Corporation

AVAMarket cap $2.95BPrice $35.2

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorUtilities

IndustryMulti-Utilities

Delivers electricity and natural gas to homes and businesses across the Pacific Northwest, serving customers in Washington, Idaho, and Oregon. Despite wildfire risks and heavy regulation, Avista keeps rates among the lowest in the region while investing steadily in grid reliability.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-5%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+9%6

EPS Growth Y+2+9%6

EPS Growth Y+3+6%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin19%7

Net Income Margin12%6

Free Cash Flow Margin-5%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.92

Efficiency

ROE8%4

ROA3%4

Earnings Stability1010

GEAR+AVERAGE49

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)137

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV1.09

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd156

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-3.5%2

Dividend Yield5.6%10

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return-14%3

YTD return-5%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh83%6

1 year return-1%4

Long term

3 year return+28%4

5 year return+10%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta-0.110

Volatility18%10

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-5%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-3.5%2

Quality

ROCE5%3

Earnings Stability1010

Net Debt/EBITDA4.92

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AVAAvista

Revenue FY25$2.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+9%6

EPS growth, FY27E+9%6

EPS growth, FY28E+6%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 74% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK27 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-14%3

YTD return-5%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high83%6

1-year return-1%4

3-year return+28%4

5-year return+10%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+28% over three years and +9.8% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 1% over the past year, now 17% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and so far this year (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Avista Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AVAAvista

Revenue FY25$2.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK26 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+9%6

EPS growth, FY27E+9%6

EPS growth, FY28E+6%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 9%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 74% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK27 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-14%3

YTD return-5%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high83%6

1-year return-1%4

3-year return+28%4

5-year return+10%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+28% over three years and +9.8% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 1% over the past year, now 17% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%) and so far this year (-5%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-14%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Avista Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community