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AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

AeroVironment, Inc.

AVAVMarket cap $7.27BPrice $143.5

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAerospace & Defense

Builds drones and unmanned systems that dominate the US military's small-drone arsenal—its Raven and Switchblade models are battlefield staples. One of the few pure-play drone makers profiting directly from modern warfare's shift toward autonomous weapons.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-59%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+54%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+11%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+14%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+17%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+36%9

EPS Growth Y+3+21%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-1%1

Net Income Margin-10%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.16

Efficiency

ROE-5%2

ROA-4%1

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+VERY WEAK14

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)411

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)272

P/BV1.78

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd232

EV/EBIT Fwd7181

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-0.3%3

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-1%7

3 month return-12%3

YTD return-41%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh34%1

1 year return-64%1

Long term

3 year return+37%5

5 year return+65%6

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta2.11

Volatility75%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%3

Free Cash Flow Yield-0.3%3

Quality

ROCE-0%2

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA1.16

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AVAVAeroVironment

Revenue FY26$2.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG82 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+54%10

Revenue, next 1Y+11%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+17%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E+36%9

EPS growth, FY29E+21%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 82% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 54%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 17%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 54%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 14%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return-12%3

YTD return-41%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high34%1

1-year return-64%1

3-year return+37%5

5-year return+65%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+37% over three years and +65% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 64% over the past year, now 66% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-12%) and so far this year (-41%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AeroVironment, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AVAVAeroVironment

Revenue FY26$2.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG82 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+54%10

Revenue, next 1Y+11%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+17%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E0%5

EPS growth, FY28E+36%9

EPS growth, FY29E+21%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 82% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 54%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 17%/yr over five years.9/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 54%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 14%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-1%7

3-month return-12%3

YTD return-41%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high34%1

1-year return-64%1

3-year return+37%5

5-year return+65%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-1%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+37% over three years and +65% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 64% over the past year, now 66% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-12%) and so far this year (-41%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on AeroVironment, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community