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Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Axon Enterprise, Inc.

AXONMarket cap $34BPrice $418.6

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAerospace & Defense

Makes Tasers and body cameras that dominate American policing, arming most U.S. law enforcement agencies with less-lethal weapons and cloud-based evidence software. Its Axon Cloud ties departments into a recurring-revenue ecosystem that's tougher to leave than to join.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-38%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+33%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+33%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+30%10

Rev CAGR (5y)+28%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+384%10

EPS Growth Y+2+46%9

EPS Growth Y+3+35%9

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin2%2

Net Income Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA6.11

Efficiency

ROE6%3

ROA3%5

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+WEAK28

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)451

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)272

P/BV9.32

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd361

EV/EBIT Fwd1751

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.4%3

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-19%1

3 month return-35%1

YTD return-26%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh55%2

1 year return-41%1

Long term

3 year return+110%8

5 year return+148%8

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.71

Volatility62%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Free Cash Flow Yield0.4%3

Quality

ROCE1%2

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA6.11

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AXONAxon Enterprise

Revenue FY25$2.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG98 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+33%10

Revenue, next 1Y+33%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+30%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+28%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+384%10

EPS growth, FY27E+46%9

EPS growth, FY28E+35%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 98% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 33%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 30%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

Revenue grew 33%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 30%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 28%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 46%/yr vs revenue 30%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK15 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-19%1

3-month return-35%1

YTD return-26%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high55%2

1-year return-41%1

3-year return+110%8

5-year return+148%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +110% over three years and +148% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 41% over the past year, now 45% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-19%), over three months (-35%) and so far this year (-26%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

A proven multi-year compounder now in a meaningful pullback well below its 52-week high. This is the classic fork: either a buy-the-dip in an intact uptrend, or the early stage of a trend change. Wait for the short-term slide to stabilise before adding. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Axon. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

AXONAxon Enterprise

Revenue FY25$2.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG98 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+33%10

Revenue, next 1Y+33%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+30%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+28%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+384%10

EPS growth, FY27E+46%9

EPS growth, FY28E+35%9

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 98% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 33%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 30%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.10/10

Revenue grew 33%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 30%/yr.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 28%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 46%/yr vs revenue 30%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK15 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-19%1

3-month return-35%1

YTD return-26%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high55%2

1-year return-41%1

3-year return+110%8

5-year return+148%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +110% over three years and +148% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 41% over the past year, now 45% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-19%), over three months (-35%) and so far this year (-26%).

BOTTOM LINE

Outperformer in a Drawdown

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Axon. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community