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Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Booking Holdings Inc.

BKNGMarket cap $120BPrice $160.0

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorTechnology

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Operates online travel platforms including Booking.com, Priceline, and Kayak that handle over 900 million room nights annually. Controls roughly 20% of the global online hotel booking market across six continents.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-21%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+16%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+9%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+8%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1-94%1

EPS Growth Y+2+13%7

EPS Growth Y+3+12%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin35%9

Net Income Margin26%8

Free Cash Flow Margin34%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

Efficiency

ROEna–

ROA24%10

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG72

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BVna–

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd115

EV/EBIT Fwd127

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield7.9%8

Dividend Yield1.1%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-8%3

3 month return-9%4

YTD return-25%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh73%4

1 year return-22%2

Long term

3 year return+36%5

5 year return+65%6

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.13

Volatility38%5

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin34%9

Free Cash Flow Yield7.9%8

Quality

ROCE95%10

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

BKNGBooking Holdings

Revenue FY25$23.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+16%8

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-94%1

EPS growth, FY27E+13%7

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 16%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 16%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 9%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 9%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 94% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK24 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-9%4

YTD return-25%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high73%4

1-year return-22%2

3-year return+36%5

5-year return+65%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+36% over three years and +65% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-9%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 22% over the past year, now 27% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%) and so far this year (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Booking Holdings. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

BKNGBooking Holdings

Revenue FY25$23.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+16%8

Revenue, next 1Y+9%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+8%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E-94%1

EPS growth, FY27E+13%7

EPS growth, FY28E+12%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 16%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over five years.7/10

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 9%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 16%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 9%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 9%/yr). One year dips: EPS falls 94% next year.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK24 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-8%3

3-month return-9%4

YTD return-25%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high73%4

1-year return-22%2

3-year return+36%5

5-year return+65%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+36% over three years and +65% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-9%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 22% over the past year, now 27% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-8%) and so far this year (-25%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Booking Holdings. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community