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Dutch Bros Inc. (BROS) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Dutch Bros Inc.

BROSMarket cap $5.39BPrice $39.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Sells drive-thru coffee and energy drinks with a cult-like following of "Broistas" hyping up customers at every window. Growing faster than Starbucks in store count, betting that speed, sugar, and vibes beat sit-down cafes.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-29%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+30%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+30%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+25%9

Rev CAGR (5y)+24%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+272%10

EPS Growth Y+2+36%9

EPS Growth Y+3+29%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin10%4

Net Income Margin5%4

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.44

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROA4%6

Earnings Stability66

GEAR+AVERAGE40

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)263

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)184

P/BV9.22

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd163

EV/EBIT Fwd302

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield1.0%3

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-16%1

3 month return-41%1

YTD return-36%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh53%1

1 year return-18%3

Long term

3 year return+62%6

5 year return-9%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.81

Volatility52%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin4%4

Free Cash Flow Yield1.0%3

Quality

ROCE7%4

Earnings Stability66

Net Debt/EBITDA2.44

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

BROSDutch Bros

Revenue FY25$1.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG96 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+30%10

Revenue, next 1Y+30%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+25%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+24%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+272%10

EPS growth, FY27E+36%9

EPS growth, FY28E+29%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 96% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 25%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 24%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 36%/yr vs revenue 25%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 25%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-16%1

3-month return-41%1

YTD return-36%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high53%1

1-year return-18%3

3-year return+62%6

5-year return-9%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+62% over three years and -8.8% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 18% over the past year, now 47% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-16%), over three months (-41%) and so far this year (-36%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Dutch Bros Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

BROSDutch Bros

Revenue FY25$1.3B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG96 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+30%10

Revenue, next 1Y+30%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+25%9

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+24%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+272%10

EPS growth, FY27E+36%9

EPS growth, FY28E+29%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 96% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 25%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.9/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 24%/yr over five years.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 36%/yr vs revenue 25%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 25%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-16%1

3-month return-41%1

YTD return-36%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high53%1

1-year return-18%3

3-year return+62%6

5-year return-9%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+62% over three years and -8.8% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 18% over the past year, now 47% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-16%), over three months (-41%) and so far this year (-36%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Dutch Bros Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community