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Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Carnival Corporation Ltd.

CCLMarket cap $36BPrice $26.6

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Operates the world's largest cruise fleet, carrying tens of millions of passengers a year across brands like Carnival, Princess, and Holland America. One in two ocean cruisers globally sails on one of its ships.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-5%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+30%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+4%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+14%7

EPS Growth Y+2+12%7

EPS Growth Y+3+17%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin16%6

Net Income Margin11%6

Free Cash Flow Margin12%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA3.13

Efficiency

ROE24%8

ROA6%7

Earnings Stability66

GEAR+AVERAGE47

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)118

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)99

P/BV2.56

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd87

EV/EBIT Fwd146

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield8.9%9

Dividend Yield2.3%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+13%10

3 month return+0%6

YTD return-12%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh79%5

1 year return-6%4

Long term

3 year return+104%8

5 year return+10%4

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.61

Volatility49%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin12%6

Free Cash Flow Yield8.9%9

Quality

ROCE11%6

Earnings Stability66

Net Debt/EBITDA3.13

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CCLCarnival Corporation

Revenue FY25$26.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE36 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+30%10

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+14%7

EPS growth, FY27E+12%7

EPS growth, FY28E+17%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 36% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 4%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE58 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+13%10

3-month return+0%6

YTD return-12%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high79%5

1-year return-6%4

3-year return+104%8

5-year return+10%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+13%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+104% over three years and +10% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 6% over the past year, now 21% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-12%).

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming so far this year.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Carnival Corporation Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CCLCarnival Corporation

Revenue FY25$26.6B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE36 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+30%10

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+14%7

EPS growth, FY27E+12%7

EPS growth, FY28E+17%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 36% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 30%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 4%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE58 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+13%10

3-month return+0%6

YTD return-12%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high79%5

1-year return-6%4

3-year return+104%8

5-year return+10%4

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+13%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+104% over three years and +10% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's down 6% over the past year, now 21% below its 52-week high. That is right in line with the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (+0%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-12%).

BOTTOM LINE

Mixed Momentum

Horizons disagree or sit near the middle of the pack. Momentum investors may want a clearer trend before sizing up. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming so far this year.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Carnival Corporation Ltd.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community