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Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. (CCOI) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc.

CCOIMarket cap $0.45BPrice $9.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorTechnology

IndustryTelecom Services

Runs one of the internet's largest backbone networks, moving massive volumes of data traffic between businesses worldwide. Bought Sprint's wireline business for practically nothing, instantly doubling its network reach across the globe.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-79%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+15%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+3Loss1

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-7%1

Net Income Margin-5%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-16%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA10.41

Efficiency

ROE-194%1

ROA-1%2

Earnings Stability22

GEAR+VERY WEAK2

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)na–

P/BVna–

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd106

EV/EBIT Fwd372

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-32.0%1

Dividend Yield0.9%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-7%3

3 month return-20%2

YTD return-57%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh20%1

1 year return-78%1

Long term

3 year return-83%1

5 year return-84%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility99%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-16%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-32.0%1

Quality

ROCE-2%1

Earnings Stability22

Net Debt/EBITDA10.41

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CCOICogent Communications Holdings

Revenue FY25$897M

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 15%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 15%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 4%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 72% of companies worldwide.

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK2 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%3

3-month return-20%2

YTD return-57%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high20%1

1-year return-78%1

3-year return-83%1

5-year return-84%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-83% over three years and -84% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 78% over the past year, now 80% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-7%), over three months (-20%) and so far this year (-57%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CCOICogent Communications Holdings

Revenue FY25$897M

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+15%8

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28ELoss1

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 15%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 15%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 4%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 72% of companies worldwide.

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Maturing Grower

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK2 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%3

3-month return-20%2

YTD return-57%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high20%1

1-year return-78%1

3-year return-83%1

5-year return-84%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-83% over three years and -84% over five), behind 90% of the market.

It's down 78% over the past year, now 80% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-7%), over three months (-20%) and so far this year (-57%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community