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Celsius Holdings, Inc. (CELH) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Celsius Holdings, Inc.

CELHMarket cap $6.81BPrice $26.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryBeverages

Makes energy drinks that market themselves as fitness fuel instead of sugary soda, riding the "healthy" caffeine wave to steal serious shelf space from Red Bull and Monster. PepsiCo now owns a chunk of it, and that changed everything.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-58%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+57%10

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+26%9

Rev CAGR (3y)+14%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+11%8

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+489%10

EPS Growth Y+2+16%8

EPS Growth Y+3+24%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin21%8

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin15%7

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.19

Efficiency

ROE5%3

ROA3%5

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+STRONG70

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)185

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)136

P/BV5.73

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd125

EV/EBIT Fwd146

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.8%8

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-9%3

3 month return-12%3

YTD return-41%1

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh40%1

1 year return-57%1

Long term

3 year return-48%1

5 year return-14%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.85

Volatility64%2

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin15%7

Free Cash Flow Yield6.8%8

Quality

ROCE17%8

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA0.19

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CELHCelsius Holdings

Revenue FY25$2.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG87 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+57%10

Revenue, next 1Y+26%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+11%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+489%10

EPS growth, FY27E+16%8

EPS growth, FY28E+24%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 87% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 57%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 24%/yr vs revenue 14%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 57%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 14%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-12%3

YTD return-41%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high40%1

1-year return-57%1

3-year return-48%1

5-year return-14%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-48% over three years and -14% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 57% over the past year, now 60% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%), over three months (-12%) and so far this year (-41%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Celsius Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CELHCelsius Holdings

Revenue FY25$2.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY STRONG87 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+57%10

Revenue, next 1Y+26%9

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+11%8

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+489%10

EPS growth, FY27E+16%8

EPS growth, FY28E+24%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 87% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 57%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 90% of companies worldwide.10/10

Revenue is set to grow 14%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 11%/yr over five years.8/10

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 24%/yr vs revenue 14%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 57%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 14%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Elite Compounder

A top-tier grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the pace is cooling.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK4 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-9%3

3-month return-12%3

YTD return-41%1

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high40%1

1-year return-57%1

3-year return-48%1

5-year return-14%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-48% over three years and -14% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 57% over the past year, now 60% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-9%), over three months (-12%) and so far this year (-41%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Celsius Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community