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Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V. (CHDRAUIB) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Grupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V.

CHDRAUIBMarket cap $4.56BPrice $4.8

Country🇲🇽Mexico

SectorConsumer

IndustryConsumer Staples

Runs supermarkets and hypermarkets across Mexico, competing head-to-head with Walmart in its home turf. After acquiring US chain Smart & Final, it now feeds shoppers on both sides of the border with razor-thin grocery margins.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-33%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-2%2

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+1%4

EPS Growth Y+2+15%8

EPS Growth Y+3+11%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin5%3

Net Income Margin2%3

Free Cash Flow Margin6%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.14

Efficiency

ROE12%5

ROA4%5

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE61

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)118

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)108

P/BV1.68

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd59

EV/EBIT Fwd89

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield22.2%10

Dividend Yield1.2%4

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return-3%5

YTD return-29%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh62%2

1 year return-36%1

Long term

3 year return-11%2

5 year return+154%8

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.29

Volatility21%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin6%5

Free Cash Flow Yield22.2%10

Quality

ROCE13%7

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.14

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CHDRAUIBGrupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V.

Revenue FY25$16.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK32 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y-2%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+1%4

EPS growth, FY27E+15%8

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 4%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 68% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

CHDRAUIBGrupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V.

Total return Current194%

Price return Current166%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK25 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return-3%5

YTD return-29%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high62%2

1-year return-36%1

3-year return-11%2

5-year return+154%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (-11% over three years and +154% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 36% over the past year, now 38% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-29%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Chedraui. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CHDRAUIBGrupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V.

Revenue FY25$16.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK32 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+7%6

Revenue, next 1Y-2%2

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+1%4

EPS growth, FY27E+15%8

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 11%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

Revenue grew 7%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 4%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 68% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

CHDRAUIBGrupo Comercial Chedraui, S.A.B. de C.V.

Total return Current194%

Price return Current166%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK25 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return-3%5

YTD return-29%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high62%2

1-year return-36%1

3-year return-11%2

5-year return+154%8

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (-11% over three years and +154% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 36% over the past year, now 38% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-29%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Chedraui. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community