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CME Group Inc. (CME) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

CME Group Inc.

CMEMarket cap $97BPrice $270.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorFinancials

IndustryCapital Markets

Operates the world's largest derivatives marketplace where traders bet on everything from corn prices to interest rates. Processes over 5 billion contracts annually, making money on every single trade.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+4%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+9%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+8%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%5

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+10%7

EPS Growth Y+2+5%5

EPS Growth Y+3+7%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin66%10

Net Income Margin63%10

Free Cash Flow Margin62%10

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

Efficiency

ROE16%7

ROA2%4

Earnings Stability1010

GEAR+VERY STRONG89

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)223

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)193

P/BV3.74

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd203

EV/EBIT Fwd203

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%5

Dividend Yield1.9%5

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return+12%9

YTD return+2%5

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh85%7

1 year return+6%5

Long term

3 year return+45%5

5 year return+65%6

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.210

Volatility24%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin62%10

Free Cash Flow Yield0.0%5

Quality

ROCE12%4

Earnings Stability1010

Net Debt/EBITDA0.37

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CMECME Group

Revenue FY25$6.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 1Y+8%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+10%7

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 47% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 9%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 7%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+12%9

YTD return+2%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high85%7

1-year return+6%5

3-year return+45%5

5-year return+65%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and over three months (+12%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+45% over three years and +65% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 6% over the past year, but 15% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+2%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on CME Group. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

CMECME Group

Revenue FY25$6.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE47 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+9%6

Revenue, next 1Y+8%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+7%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%5

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+10%7

EPS growth, FY27E+5%5

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 7%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 47% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 7%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Revenue grew 9%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 7%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, about average versus companies worldwide.5/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return+12%9

YTD return+2%5

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high85%7

1-year return+6%5

3-year return+45%5

5-year return+65%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and over three months (+12%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+45% over three years and +65% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 6% over the past year, but 15% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+2%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on CME Group. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community