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Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Ducommun Incorporated

DCOMarket cap $2.50BPrice $165.7

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAerospace & Defense

Manufactures structural components and electronic systems for military aircraft, missiles, and commercial jets. This nearly century-old supplier has parts flying on almost every major U.S. defense platform, from Black Hawk helicopters to Patriot missiles.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+80%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+7%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+23%8

EPS Growth Y+3+13%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin11%5

Net Income Margin-2%2

Free Cash Flow Margin-3%2

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.14

Efficiency

ROE-3%2

ROA-2%2

Earnings Stability33

GEAR+VERY WEAK11

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)312

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)262

P/BV3.64

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd183

EV/EBIT Fwd292

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-1.0%2

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-2%7

3 month return-4%5

YTD return+74%10

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh79%5

1 year return+70%10

Long term

3 year return+277%10

5 year return+223%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility40%4

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-3%2

Free Cash Flow Yield-1.0%2

Quality

ROCE9%5

Earnings Stability33

Net Debt/EBITDA2.14

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

DCODucommun

Revenue FY25$825M

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+7%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+23%8

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 8%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 49% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG79 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return-4%5

YTD return+74%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high79%5

1-year return+70%10

3-year return+277%10

5-year return+223%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +277% over three years and +223% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

It's up 70% over the past year, but 21% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and so far this year (+74%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Ducommun Incorporated. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

DCODucommun

Revenue FY25$825M

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE49 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+7%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+23%8

EPS growth, FY28E+13%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 8%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 49% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG79 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-2%7

3-month return-4%5

YTD return+74%10

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high79%5

1-year return+70%10

3-year return+277%10

5-year return+223%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +277% over three years and +223% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

It's up 70% over the past year, but 21% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (-2%) and so far this year (+74%).

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Ducommun Incorporated. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community