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Dunelm Group plc (DFQ) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Dunelm Group plc

DFQMarket cap $2.10BPrice $10.7

Country🇬🇧United Kingdom

SectorConsumer

IndustrySpecialty Retail

Sells homeware, furniture, and textiles across the UK through massive out-of-town superstores and a growing online business. It's Britain's biggest home goods retailer by sales, thriving even as rivals like Made.com and Habitat collapsed around it.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-25%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%5

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+4%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+1%4

EPS Growth Y+2+4%5

EPS Growth Y+3+7%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin12%5

Net Income Margin9%5

Free Cash Flow Margin13%7

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.25

Efficiency

ROE116%10

ROA21%10

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+AVERAGE56

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)108

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)98

P/BV10.72

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd69

EV/EBIT Fwd99

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield15.0%10

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+2%9

3 month return+3%7

YTD return-22%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh74%4

1 year return-20%2

Long term

3 year return+2%3

5 year return-10%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.95

Volatility47%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin13%7

Free Cash Flow Yield15.0%10

Quality

ROCE48%10

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA1.25

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

DFQDunelm Group

Revenue FY26$2.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+1%4

EPS growth, FY28E+4%5

EPS growth, FY29E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 4%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 72% of companies worldwide.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

DFQDunelm Group

Total return Current146%

Price return Current63.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE35 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+2%9

3-month return+3%7

YTD return-22%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high74%4

1-year return-20%2

3-year return+2%3

5-year return-10%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+2%) and over three months (+3%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+1.6% over three years and -10% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 20% over the past year, now 26% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-22%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

A poor multi-year track record but a sharp recent rally. Momentum is turning up, yet the trend is young and unproven — it needs follow-through to confirm rather than fade. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Dunelm Group plc. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

DFQDunelm Group

Revenue FY26$2.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK28 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+5%5

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+1%4

EPS growth, FY28E+4%5

EPS growth, FY29E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 5%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 4%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 72% of companies worldwide.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth is only about average.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

DFQDunelm Group

Total return Current146%

Price return Current63.0%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE35 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+2%9

3-month return+3%7

YTD return-22%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high74%4

1-year return-20%2

3-year return+2%3

5-year return-10%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+2%) and over three months (+3%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (+1.6% over three years and -10% over five), behind 70% of the market.

It's down 20% over the past year, now 26% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming so far this year (-22%).

BOTTOM LINE

Early Turnaround

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Dunelm Group plc. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community