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Avenue Supermarts Limited (DMART) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Avenue Supermarts Limited

DMARTMarket cap $25BPrice $37.4

Country🇮🇳India

SectorConsumer

IndustryConsumer Staples

Runs DMart, India's low-cost supermarket chain, selling groceries and household goods at everyday-low prices through an owned-store model. Keeps costs razor-thin by skipping prime real estate, letting it undercut rivals while still posting some of retail's fattest margins.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-24%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+12%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+13%7

Rev CAGR (3y)+16%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+22%9

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+14%7

EPS Growth Y+2+18%8

EPS Growth Y+3+19%8

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin6%3

Net Income Margin4%3

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%3

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA0.47

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROAna–

Earnings Stability1010

GEAR+AVERAGE60

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)641

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)481

P/BV9.72

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd381

EV/EBIT Fwd481

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-0.3%3

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-3%6

3 month return-10%3

YTD return-4%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh78%5

1 year return-16%3

Long term

3 year return-6%2

5 year return-18%3

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.110

Volatility25%8

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-1%3

Free Cash Flow Yield-0.3%3

Quality

ROCE33%10

Earnings Stability1010

Net Debt/EBITDA0.47

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

DMARTAvenue Supermarts

Revenue FY26$7.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG82 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+12%8

Revenue, next 1Y+13%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+16%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+22%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+18%8

EPS growth, FY29E+19%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 82% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue is set to grow 16%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 16%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over five years.9/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 18%/yr vs revenue 16%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

DMARTAvenue Supermarts

Total return Current280%

Price return Current280%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return-10%3

YTD return-4%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high78%5

1-year return-16%3

3-year return-6%2

5-year return-18%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 16% over the past year, now 22% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%) and so far this year (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-5.6% over three years and -18% over five), behind 70% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on DMart. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

DMARTAvenue Supermarts

Revenue FY26$7.4B

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG82 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+12%8

Revenue, next 1Y+13%7

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+16%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+22%9

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+14%7

EPS growth, FY28E+18%8

EPS growth, FY29E+19%8

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 82% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

Revenue is set to grow 16%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 16%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 22%/yr over five years.9/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 18%/yr vs revenue 16%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Hyper Compounder

A top-tier grower that's speeding up.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

DMARTAvenue Supermarts

Total return Current280%

Price return Current280%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-3%6

3-month return-10%3

YTD return-4%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high78%5

1-year return-16%3

3-year return-6%2

5-year return-18%3

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

It's down 16% over the past year, now 22% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-3%) and so far this year (-4%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-5.6% over three years and -18% over five), behind 70% of the market.

The stock is underperforming over three months (-10%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on DMart. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community