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Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Domino's Pizza, Inc.

DPZMarket cap $10BPrice $302.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Sells more pizza than anyone else on the planet, powered by an app and delivery network built like a tech company's. Nearly 75% of orders happen digitally, and it franchises almost every store, turning pizza into a real estate and logistics machine.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-27%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+3%4

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+3%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+8%6

EPS Growth Y+2+7%6

EPS Growth Y+3+7%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin19%7

Net Income Margin12%6

Free Cash Flow Margin13%7

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA4.42

Efficiency

ROEna–

ROA33%10

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+AVERAGE44

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)156

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)145

P/BVna–

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd134

EV/EBIT Fwd146

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield6.5%8

Dividend Yield2.6%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-11%2

3 month return-3%5

YTD return-26%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh70%3

1 year return-25%2

Long term

3 year return-7%2

5 year return-32%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.67

Volatility31%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin13%7

Free Cash Flow Yield6.5%8

Quality

ROCE149%10

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA4.42

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

DPZDomino's Pizza

Revenue FY25$4.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK25 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+8%6

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-11%2

3-month return-3%5

YTD return-26%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high70%3

1-year return-25%2

3-year return-7%2

5-year return-32%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-6.8% over three years and -32% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 25% over the past year, now 30% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-11%) and so far this year (-26%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Domino's Pizza, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

DPZDomino's Pizza

Revenue FY25$4.9B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK25 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+3%4

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+3%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+8%6

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+7%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

Revenue grew 3%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 4%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 75% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 3%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK11 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-11%2

3-month return-3%5

YTD return-26%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high70%3

1-year return-25%2

3-year return-7%2

5-year return-32%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-3%).

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-6.8% over three years and -32% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 25% over the past year, now 30% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-11%) and so far this year (-26%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Domino's Pizza, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community