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Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Brinker International, Inc.

EATMarket cap $7.74BPrice $185.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorConsumer

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs Chili's and Maggiano's, feeding millions of Americans through casual dining chains. Chili's alone has fueled a viral social-media comeback, turning a decades-old brand into one of the hottest turnaround stories in restaurants today.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+45%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+12%7

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+8%5

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+21%8

EPS Growth Y+2+5%5

EPS Growth Y+3+10%6

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin11%5

Net Income Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Margin10%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.55

Efficiency

ROE120%10

ROA18%10

Earnings Stability88

GEAR+AVERAGE65

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)146

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV17.41

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd106

EV/EBIT Fwd137

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield7.2%8

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-17%1

3 month return+6%8

YTD return+29%8

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh73%4

1 year return+52%9

Long term

3 year return+528%10

5 year return+276%9

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility49%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin10%6

Free Cash Flow Yield7.2%8

Quality

ROCE30%10

Earnings Stability88

Net Debt/EBITDA1.55

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

EATBrinker International

Revenue FY26$5.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE38 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+12%7

Revenue, next 1Y+8%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

EPS growth, FY29E+10%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 38% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG70 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-17%1

3-month return+6%8

YTD return+29%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high73%4

1-year return+52%9

3-year return+528%10

5-year return+276%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +528% over three years and +276% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

It's up 52% over the past year, but 27% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+6%) and so far this year (+29%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-17%).

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally. The market is behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over the past month.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Brinker International, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

EATBrinker International

Revenue FY26$5.8B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE38 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+12%7

Revenue, next 1Y+8%5

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

EPS growth, FY29E+10%6

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.7/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 10%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 38% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, a little behind the market.4/10

Revenue grew 12%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

WEAKNESSES

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that is slowing. The one thing to watch: the five-year outlook is thin.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

STRONG70 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-17%1

3-month return+6%8

YTD return+29%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high73%4

1-year return+52%9

3-year return+528%10

5-year return+276%9

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Magnificent long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +528% over three years and +276% over five, ahead of 90% of the market.

It's up 52% over the past year, but 27% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over three months (+6%) and so far this year (+29%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-17%).

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Brinker International, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community