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Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. (EXPD) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

EXPDMarket cap $25BPrice $191.8

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryAir Freight & Logistics

Moves freight across air, ocean, and land without owning a single plane, ship, or truck. Expeditors just orchestrates global logistics through technology and relationships, turning asset-light into a competitive edge that's outlasted countless capital-heavy rivals for decades.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+61%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-13%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+19%8

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+5%4

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+29%8

EPS Growth Y+2+4%5

EPS Growth Y+3-0%3

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin10%4

Net Income Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.310

Efficiency

ROE43%10

ROA19%10

Earnings Stability44

GEAR+AVERAGE59

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)253

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)242

P/BV11.81

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd183

EV/EBIT Fwd184

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.7%5

Dividend Yield0.8%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+2%8

3 month return+16%9

YTD return+29%8

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh98%10

1 year return+58%9

Long term

3 year return+73%7

5 year return+76%7

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.76

Volatility31%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin8%5

Free Cash Flow Yield3.7%5

Quality

ROCE46%10

Earnings Stability44

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.310

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

EXPDExpeditors International of Washington

Revenue FY25$11.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE42 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-13%1

Revenue, next 1Y+19%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+29%8

EPS growth, FY27E+4%5

EPS growth, FY28E-0%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 42% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 4%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 13%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG92 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+2%8

3-month return+16%9

YTD return+29%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high98%10

1-year return+58%9

3-year return+73%7

5-year return+76%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +73% over three years and +76% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 58% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+2%), over three months (+16%) and so far this year (+29%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally, and the stock trades near its highs. The market is fully behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Expeditors. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

EXPDExpeditors International of Washington

Revenue FY25$11.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE42 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-13%1

Revenue, next 1Y+19%8

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+5%4

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+29%8

EPS growth, FY27E+4%5

EPS growth, FY28E-0%3

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 42% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 5%/yr, behind 60% of companies worldwide.4/10

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 4%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr).

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 13%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Grower

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY STRONG92 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+2%8

3-month return+16%9

YTD return+29%8

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high98%10

1-year return+58%9

3-year return+73%7

5-year return+76%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +73% over three years and +76% over five, ahead of 60% of the market.

It's up 58% over the past year, now sitting right at its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+2%), over three months (+16%) and so far this year (+29%).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Momentum Leader

Short- and long-term returns both rank among the best globally, and the stock trades near its highs. The market is fully behind it — a core fit for momentum strategies.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Expeditors. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community