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Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Expedia Group, Inc.

EXPEMarket cap $31BPrice $258.9

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorTechnology

IndustryHotels & Leisure

Runs Expedia, Hotels.com, and Vrbo, booking trips for millions worldwide. Travelers pay for the convenience, but Expedia often profits more from advertising and merchant fees than from the trips themselves.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+21%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%6

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+10%6

Rev CAGR (3y)+8%6

Rev CAGR (5y)+7%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+138%10

EPS Growth Y+2+13%7

EPS Growth Y+3+10%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin17%7

Net Income Margin13%6

Free Cash Flow Margin28%9

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

Efficiency

ROE199%10

ROA7%7

Earnings Stability66

GEAR+VERY STRONG89

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)118

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)108

P/BV25.71

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd78

EV/EBIT Fwd108

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield14.4%10

Dividend Yield0.7%2

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%5

3 month return-0%6

YTD return-8%4

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh76%4

1 year return+23%7

Long term

3 year return+161%9

5 year return+54%6

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.32

Volatility50%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin28%9

Free Cash Flow Yield14.4%10

Quality

ROCE34%10

Earnings Stability66

Net Debt/EBITDA-0.510

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

EXPEExpedia Group

Revenue FY25$13.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+138%10

EPS growth, FY27E+13%7

EPS growth, FY28E+10%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 13%/yr vs revenue 8%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 8%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 8%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%5

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high76%4

1-year return+23%7

3-year return+161%9

5-year return+54%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +161% over three years and +54% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

WATCH

It's up 23% over the past year, but 24% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%), over three months (+0%) and so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Expedia. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

EXPEExpedia Group

Revenue FY25$13.7B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE60 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 1Y+10%6

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+8%6

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+7%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+138%10

EPS growth, FY27E+13%7

EPS growth, FY28E+10%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 13%/yr vs revenue 8%/yr).

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 60% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 8%/yr over the next 3 years, a little ahead of the market.6/10

Revenue grew 8%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to keep growing around 8%/yr.

Over five years revenue is set to grow 7%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE59 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%5

3-month return-0%6

YTD return-8%4

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high76%4

1-year return+23%7

3-year return+161%9

5-year return+54%6

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong long-term results. Long-term holders have seen +161% over three years and +54% over five, ahead of 70% of the market.

WATCH

It's up 23% over the past year, but 24% below its 52-week high. That is a touch ahead of the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%), over three months (+0%) and so far this year (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Steady Compounder

Dependable multi-year returns with a calmer near-term tape. A reliable long-term trend rather than a short-term breakout.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Expedia. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community