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Fortescue Ltd (FMG) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

FMGFortescue

Revenue FY26$17.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y-9%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-4%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-2%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E-11%3

EPS growth, FY28E-7%3

EPS growth, FY29E+6%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 97% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to shrink 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 2%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall along with revenue (EPS about -7%/yr vs revenue -4%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

FMGFortescue

Total return Current526%

Price return Current180%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK24 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%3

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-21%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high71%4

1-year return-10%3

3-year return-4%3

5-year return+79%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (-3.8% over three years and +79% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 10% over the past year, now 29% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-7%) and so far this year (-21%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Fortescue. Get the full investment case.

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$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

FMGFortescue

Revenue FY26$17.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y-9%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR-4%1

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-2%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY27E-11%3

EPS growth, FY28E-7%3

EPS growth, FY29E+6%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 97% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to shrink 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.1/10

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, but it is set to shrink 4%/yr from here.

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 2%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

Earnings are set to fall along with revenue (EPS about -7%/yr vs revenue -4%/yr).

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business heading into decline. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

FMGFortescue

Total return Current526%

Price return Current180%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK24 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-7%3

3-month return-8%4

YTD return-21%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high71%4

1-year return-10%3

3-year return-4%3

5-year return+79%7

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (-3.8% over three years and +79% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level over three months (-8%).

WEAKNESSES

It's down 10% over the past year, now 29% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-7%) and so far this year (-21%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Fortescue. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community

Fortescue Ltd

01Key Ratings

02Growth

03Price Momentum

04Value

Stop guessing on Fortescue. Get the full investment case.

Premium

02Growth

03Price Momentum

04Value

Stop guessing on Fortescue. Get the full investment case.

Premium