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FirstService Corporation (FSV) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

FirstService Corporation

FSVMarket cap $5.66BPrice $128.8

Country🇨🇦Canada

SectorReal Estate

IndustryReal Estate Dev

FirstService manages residential communities and delivers property services like restoration and painting across North America. It oversees roughly 9,000 communities through FirstService Residential, making it the continent's largest manager of homeowner associations and condos.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-29%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+14%8

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+4%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (5y)-1%1

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+96%10

EPS Growth Y+2-3%3

EPS Growth Y+3+14%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin6%3

Net Income Margin3%3

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA2.24

Efficiency

ROE13%6

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+WEAK17

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)243

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)193

P/BV4.63

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd135

EV/EBIT Fwd223

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield5.9%7

Dividend Yield0.9%3

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-10%2

3 month return-11%3

YTD return-17%3

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh69%3

1 year return-31%2

Long term

3 year return-9%2

5 year return-28%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.04

Volatility31%7

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin6%4

Free Cash Flow Yield5.9%7

Quality

ROCE10%6

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA2.24

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

FSVFirstService

Revenue FY25$5.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-1%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+96%10

EPS growth, FY27E-3%3

EPS growth, FY28E+14%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 14%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 14%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 3% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 1%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

FSVFirstService

Total return Current186%

Price return Current171%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-11%3

YTD return-17%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high69%3

1-year return-31%2

3-year return-9%2

5-year return-28%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-9.3% over three years and -28% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 31% over the past year, now 31% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%), over three months (-11%) and so far this year (-17%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on FirstService Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

FSVFirstService

Revenue FY25$5.5B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK31 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+14%8

Revenue, next 1Y+4%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+5%4

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR-1%1

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+96%10

EPS growth, FY27E-3%3

EPS growth, FY28E+14%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue grew 14%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 70% of companies worldwide.8/10

WATCH

Revenue grew 14%/yr over the last 3 years; forecasts see it cooling to 5%/yr.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 14%/yr vs revenue 5%/yr), so margins should widen. One year dips: EPS falls 3% in year 2.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 5%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to shrink 1%/yr, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

Growth is a weak point here: a business that is slowing. The one thing to watch: forward revenue growth trails the market.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

FSVFirstService

Total return Current186%

Price return Current171%

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK8 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-10%2

3-month return-11%3

YTD return-17%3

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high69%3

1-year return-31%2

3-year return-9%2

5-year return-28%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-9.3% over three years and -28% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 31% over the past year, now 31% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-10%), over three months (-11%) and so far this year (-17%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on FirstService Corporation. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community