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Hayward Holdings, Inc. (HAYW) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Hayward Holdings, Inc.

HAYWMarket cap $2.43BPrice $11.4

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryBuilding Products

Designs and manufactures pool equipment—pumps, filters, heaters, automation systems—for residential and commercial pools. Roughly 90% of sales come from recurring replacement and upgrade demand, not new pool construction, making it surprisingly resilient when housing markets slow down.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-25%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-5%2

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+6%5

Rev CAGR (5y)+6%6

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+29%8

EPS Growth Y+2+12%7

EPS Growth Y+3+11%7

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin21%8

Net Income Margin14%7

Free Cash Flow Margin17%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.65

Efficiency

ROE10%5

ROA5%6

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE62

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)127

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)107

P/BV1.58

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd97

EV/EBIT Fwd128

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield8.3%8

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-14%1

3 month return-29%1

YTD return-26%2

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh65%3

1 year return-25%2

Long term

3 year return-12%2

5 year return-48%1

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.04

Volatility33%6

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin17%8

Free Cash Flow Yield8.3%8

Quality

ROCE9%5

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.65

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

HAYWHayward Holdings

Revenue FY25$1.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+29%8

EPS growth, FY27E+12%7

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-14%1

3-month return-29%1

YTD return-26%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high65%3

1-year return-25%2

3-year return-12%2

5-year return-48%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-12% over three years and -48% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 25% over the past year, now 35% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-14%), over three months (-29%) and so far this year (-26%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the multi-year record is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Hayward Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

HAYWHayward Holdings

Revenue FY25$1.1B

GROWTH RATING↗

AVERAGE46 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-5%2

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+6%5

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+6%6

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+29%8

EPS growth, FY27E+12%7

EPS growth, FY28E+11%7

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 6%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow faster than sales (EPS about 12%/yr vs revenue 6%/yr), so margins should widen.

WATCH

A mid-pack grower, ahead of 46% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 6%/yr over the next 3 years, in line with the market.5/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 6%/yr, ahead of 50% of companies worldwide.6/10

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 5%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 80% of companies worldwide.2/10

BOTTOM LINE

Margin Expander

A middle-of-the-pack grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: revenue has shrunk over the past 3 years.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK3 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-14%1

3-month return-29%1

YTD return-26%2

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high65%3

1-year return-25%2

3-year return-12%2

5-year return-48%1

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

None flagged.

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Weak long-term results. It has been a disappointing long-term hold (-12% over three years and -48% over five), behind 80% of the market.

It's down 25% over the past year, now 35% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-14%), over three months (-29%) and so far this year (-26%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Hayward Holdings, Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community