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Harmonic Inc. (HLIT) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Harmonic Inc.

HLITMarket cap $1.21BPrice $11.1

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorTechnology

IndustryCommunications Equipment

Builds the video streaming and cable broadband technology that powers content delivery for major providers worldwide. Its equipment helped pioneer the shift from traditional cable boxes to cloud-based streaming, putting it at the center of the cord-cutting revolution.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+9%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)-17%1

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+43%10

Rev CAGR (3y)+16%8

Rev CAGR (5y)+10%7

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+10%5

EPS Growth Y+2+21%8

EPS Growth Y+3+3%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin12%5

Net Income Margin-11%1

Free Cash Flow Margin12%6

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA-1.410

Efficiency

ROE7%3

ROA-7%1

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE39

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)156

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)126

P/BV3.44

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd106

EV/EBIT Fwd118

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield4.5%6

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-6%4

3 month return-22%2

YTD return+12%7

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh63%2

1 year return+8%6

Long term

3 year return+21%4

5 year return+28%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta1.52

Volatility51%3

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin12%6

Free Cash Flow Yield4.5%6

Quality

ROCE10%5

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA-1.410

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

HLITHarmonic

Revenue FY25$361M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-17%1

Revenue, next 1Y+43%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+16%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+10%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+3%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 16%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 16%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over five years.7/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 17%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-22%2

YTD return+12%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%2

1-year return+8%6

3-year return+21%4

5-year return+28%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+12%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+21% over three years and +28% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 8% over the past year, but 37% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-22%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the stock is underperforming over three months.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Harmonic Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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Loading charts…

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

HLITHarmonic

Revenue FY25$361M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG69 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR-17%1

Revenue, next 1Y+43%10

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+16%8

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+10%7

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E0%5

EPS growth, FY27E+21%8

EPS growth, FY28E+3%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 69% of companies worldwide.

Revenue is set to grow 16%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.8/10

After shrinking over the last 3 years, revenue is set to grow 16%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 10%/yr over five years.7/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Revenue fell 17%/yr over the last 3 years, behind 90% of companies worldwide.1/10

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that's turning around. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

WEAK20 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-6%4

3-month return-22%2

YTD return+12%7

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high63%2

1-year return+8%6

3-year return+21%4

5-year return+28%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+12%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+21% over three years and +28% over five), roughly average for the market.

It's up 8% over the past year, but 37% below its 52-week high. That is a touch behind the market.

Returns sit at the market level over the past month (-6%).

WEAKNESSES

The stock is underperforming over three months (-22%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Harmonic Inc.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community