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Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated today

Illinois Tool Works Inc.

ITWMarket cap $75BPrice $264.7

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorIndustrials

IndustryMachinery

Makes specialized industrial tools, fasteners, and equipment that keep factories running worldwide. Their products are so mission-critical that many manufacturers can't operate without them, creating sticky recurring revenue streams.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return+8%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+0%3

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)+5%4

Rev CAGR (3y)+4%3

Rev CAGR (5y)+4%3

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1+10%6

EPS Growth Y+2+7%6

EPS Growth Y+3+5%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin27%8

Net Income Margin19%8

Free Cash Flow Margin18%8

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDA1.84

Efficiency

ROE105%10

ROA20%10

Earnings Stability55

GEAR+AVERAGE62

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)233

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)213

P/BV26.11

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwd173

EV/EBIT Fwd194

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield3.9%5

Dividend Yield2.6%6

Momentum

Short term

1 month return+1%8

3 month return+0%7

YTD return+10%6

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh88%8

1 year return+9%6

Long term

3 year return+21%4

5 year return+38%5

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta0.77

Volatility22%9

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin18%8

Free Cash Flow Yield3.9%5

Quality

ROCE39%10

Earnings Stability55

Net Debt/EBITDA1.84

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ITWIllinois Tool Works

Revenue FY25$16.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+10%6

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 77% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE66 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+1%8

3-month return+0%7

YTD return+10%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high88%8

1-year return+9%6

3-year return+21%4

5-year return+38%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 9% over the past year, but 12% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+1%) and over three months (+0%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+21% over three years and +38% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+10%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on ITW. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

ITWIllinois Tool Works

Revenue FY25$16.0B

GROWTH RATING↗

WEAK23 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+0%3

Revenue, next 1Y+5%4

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+4%3

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+4%3

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26E+10%6

EPS growth, FY27E+7%6

EPS growth, FY28E+5%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years and is set to grow 4%/yr from here.

Earnings are set to grow in step with sales (EPS about 7%/yr vs revenue 4%/yr).

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

Growth is the weak spot here, trailing 77% of companies worldwide.

Revenue held flat over the last 3 years, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

Revenue is set to grow 4%/yr over the next 3 years, behind most of the market.3/10

Over five years revenue is set to grow 4%/yr, behind 70% of companies worldwide.3/10

BOTTOM LINE

Stalled Business

Growth is a weak point here: a business that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the 3-year revenue record is weak.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

AVERAGE66 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return+1%8

3-month return+0%7

YTD return+10%6

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high88%8

1-year return+9%6

3-year return+21%4

5-year return+38%5

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It's up 9% over the past year, but 12% below its 52-week high. That is clearly ahead of the market.

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming over the past month (+1%) and over three months (+0%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+21% over three years and +38% over five), roughly average for the market.

Returns sit at the market level so far this year (+10%).

WEAKNESSES

None flagged.

BOTTOM LINE

Fresh Momentum

Short-term returns are strong but the long track record is thin. Momentum is building — confirmation from longer horizons would strengthen the case.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on ITW. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community