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Keel Infrastructure Corp. (KEEL) Stock Verdict & Ratings | Investment Bastion

Stock Verdict·Updated 1d ago

Keel Infrastructure Corp.

KEELMarket cap $2.06BPrice $3.3

Country🇺🇸United States

SectorTechnology

IndustrySoftware

Builds software infrastructure that helps companies plan, finance, and manage large-scale physical projects like power plants and data centers. It's tackling the unglamorous back-end tech behind America's trillion-dollar infrastructure buildout.

In Bastion Portfolios?

52W Return-33%Global Market +16%?

01Key Ratings

How does this stock score across Bastion factors?

Growth

Historical Revenue

Rev CAGR (3y)+17%9

Revenue Forecast

Rev CAGR (1y)-53%1

Rev CAGR (3y)+32%10

Rev CAGR (5y)+38%10

Earnings Forecast

EPS Growth Y+1Loss1

EPS Growth Y+2Loss1

EPS Growth Y+30%5

Quality

Margins

EBIT Margin-85%1

Net Income Margin-231%1

Free Cash Flow Margin-221%1

Debt

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

Efficiency

ROE-76%1

ROA-39%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

GEAR+VERY WEAK7

Overall rating across all five factors

Value

Price Multiples

P/E Ratio (Forward)na–

P/E Ratio (Forward 3y)89

P/BV6.33

EV Multiples

EV/EBITDA Fwdna–

EV/EBIT Fwdna–

Yield

Free Cash Flow Yield-20.2%1

Dividend Yieldna–

Momentum

Short term

1 month return-11%2

3 month return-27%1

YTD return+42%9

Mid term

Price vs 52wHigh45%1

1 year return-17%3

Long term

3 year return+211%9

5 year return-35%2

Risk Shield

Price Risk

Beta2.51

Volatility109%1

Free Cash Flow

Free Cash Flow Margin-221%1

Free Cash Flow Yield-20.2%1

Quality

ROCE-15%1

Earnings Stabilityna–

Net Debt/EBITDAna–

02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

KEELKeel Infrastructure

Revenue FY25$229M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG73 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+17%9

Revenue, next 1Y-53%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+32%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+38%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28E0%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 73% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 17%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 32%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 17%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 32%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 38%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-11%2

3-month return-27%1

YTD return+42%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high45%1

1-year return-17%3

3-year return+211%9

5-year return-35%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+42%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+211% over three years and -35% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 17% over the past year, now 55% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-11%) and over three months (-27%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

Returns rank poorly over both the short and long run, and the price is still falling. Momentum is firmly negative — catching this is a bet against the tape, not with it. Wait for a base to form. The one thing to watch: the one-year trend is weak.

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Keel Infrastructure Corp.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

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02Growth

Is it actually growing, and how fast?

KEELKeel Infrastructure

Revenue FY25$229M

GROWTH RATING↗

STRONG73 / 100

REVENUE GROWTH▾SCORE

Revenue, last 3Y, CAGR+17%9

Revenue, next 1Y-53%1

Revenue, next 3Y, CAGR+32%10

Revenue, next 5Y, CAGR+38%10

EARNINGS FORECAST▾SCORE

EPS growth, FY26ELoss1

EPS growth, FY27ELoss1

EPS growth, FY28E0%5

GROWTH ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

It out-grows 73% of companies worldwide.

Revenue grew 17%/yr over the last 3 years, ahead of 80% of companies worldwide.9/10

Revenue is set to grow 32%/yr over the next 3 years, ahead of most of the market.7/10

Revenue grew 17%/yr over the last 3 years and is set to grow 32%/yr from here.

The runway holds up: revenue is set to grow 38%/yr over five years.10/10

WATCH

None flagged.

WEAKNESSES

The company is loss-making, so its revenue growth is not backed by profit yet.

BOTTOM LINE

Top-Line Rocket

A top-tier grower that's speeding up. The one thing to watch: the company is not profitable yet.

03Price Momentum

Is the market behind it right now?

MOMENTUM RATING↗

VERY WEAK10 / 100

SHORT-TERM RETURNS▾SCORE

1-month return-11%2

3-month return-27%1

YTD return+42%9

MID & LONG-TERM▾SCORE

% of 52-week high45%1

1-year return-17%3

3-year return+211%9

5-year return-35%2

MOMENTUM ASSESSMENT

STRENGTHS

Strong recent results. The stock is outperforming so far this year (+42%).

WATCH

Average long-term results. Multi-year returns are middling (+211% over three years and -35% over five), roughly average for the market.

WEAKNESSES

It's down 17% over the past year, now 55% below its 52-week high. That is lagging the market.

The stock is underperforming over the past month (-11%) and over three months (-27%).

BOTTOM LINE

Falling Knife

04Value

Are you paying a fair price for it?

Stop guessing on Keel Infrastructure Corp.. Get the full investment case.

Premium

$20.75/month

Billed annually at $249/year $348

✓
Stock VerdictValuation and investment strategy for 4,000+ stocks. Days of hedge fund analyst research, done in 2 minutes.
✓
RadarFind your next investment idea: top-ranked stocks across all 9 Bastion strategies.
✓
Portfolio ManagerCheck if Bastion algorithms added the stock you care about to their portfolios.

Secure via Stripe

Trusted by 1,000+ investors in our community